Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old girl in Estonia most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.03%
1 in 3,557
Next 10 years
0.27%
1 in 366
Life expectancy
83
about 66 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide34%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  2. 02Accidental poisoning & overdose9.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  3. 03Road accidents8.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  4. 04Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)5.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  5. 05Other accidents5.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  6. 06Other cancers4.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  7. 07Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.96%
  8. 08Brain cancer3.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
Show the other 18 causes27% together
  1. 09Homicide2.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  2. 10Heart failure & other heart disease2.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.6%
  3. 11Uterine & ovarian cancer2.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  4. 12Lung cancer1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  5. 13Falls1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.76%
  6. 14Other causes1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  7. 15High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 28%
  8. 16Other digestive disease1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  9. 17Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  10. 18Congenital conditions1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  11. 19Leukaemia & lymphoma1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  12. 20Diabetes1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  13. 21Stroke0.67%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  14. 22Breast cancer0.67%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  15. 23Pancreatic cancer0.67%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  16. 24Stomach cancer0.67%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  17. 25Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.67%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  18. 26Other mental health conditions0.67%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the emotional support line on 116 123 (10:00–24:00) — free and confidential; at other times, call 112 (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Estonia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Estonia (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 15–19 in Estonia

How long people like this live: life expectancy.