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Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old girl in Croatia most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.02%
1 in 5,458
Next 10 years
0.19%
1 in 532
Life expectancy
82
about 65 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's road accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Road accidents19%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  2. 02Suicide17%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  3. 03Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)16%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.79%
  4. 04Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)5.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  5. 05Other cancers5.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  6. 06Heart failure & other heart disease4.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.0%
  7. 07Brain cancer4.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  8. 08Homicide4.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
Show the other 11 causes23% together
  1. 09Stomach cancer4.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.87%
  2. 10Other digestive disease3.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  3. 11Drowning2.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  4. 12Leukaemia & lymphoma2.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  5. 13Congenital conditions2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  6. 14Pneumonia & flu1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  7. 15Pregnancy & childbirth1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  8. 16Breast cancer0.99%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  9. 17Uterine & ovarian cancer0.99%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  10. 18Drug use disorder0.99%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  11. 19Other accidents0.99%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Croatia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Croatia (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 15–19 in Croatia

How long people like this live: life expectancy.