Free risk check · real data

What is a 27-year-old man in Iceland most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
27
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.08%
1 in 1,281
Next 10 years
0.85%
1 in 117
Life expectancy
82
about 55 more years on average
The surpriseAt 27, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's accidental poisoning & overdose.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  2. 02Suicide24%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  3. 0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  4. 0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.3%
  5. 0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  6. 0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  7. 0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 16%
  8. 08Diabetes3.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
Show the other 15 causes21% together
  1. 0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  2. 0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  3. 0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  4. 12Stroke1.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.5%
  5. 0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  6. 0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  7. 0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  8. 0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  9. 17Other causes1.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  10. 0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  11. <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  12. 20Homicide0.91%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  13. <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  14. <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  15. 23Falls0.69%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the Red Cross helpline on 1717 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 27-year-old man in Iceland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Iceland (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 25–29 in Iceland

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 27-year-old man in Iceland

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Iceland's national screening invitations and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.