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Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old boy in Lithuania most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.05%
1 in 1,988
Next 10 years
0.70%
1 in 143
Life expectancy
73
about 56 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide27%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  2. 02Road accidents21%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.71%
  3. 03Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)8.1%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.80%
  4. 04Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)7.0%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  5. 05Accidental poisoning & overdose6.5%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  6. 06Other accidents5.2%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  7. 07Drowning3.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  8. 08Other digestive disease3.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
Show the other 17 causes19% together
  1. 09Heart attack & coronary heart disease3.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 30%
  2. 10Falls2.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  3. 11Heart failure & other heart disease1.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  4. 12Leukaemia & lymphoma1.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  5. 13Pneumonia & flu1.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  6. 14Other cancers1.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  7. 15Congenital conditions1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  8. 16High blood pressure & other circulatory disease0.75%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.2%
  9. 17Stomach cancer0.75%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  10. 18Brain cancer0.75%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  11. 19Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.75%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  12. 20Other causes0.75%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.96%
  13. 21Colorectal cancer0.37%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  14. 22Other lung disease0.37%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  15. 23Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.37%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  16. 24Other mental health conditions0.37%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  17. 25Homicide0.37%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Vilties linija on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Lithuania, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Lithuania (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 15–19 in Lithuania

How long people like this live: life expectancy.