Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old boy in Moldova most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.06%
1 in 1,667
Next 10 years
1.1%
1 in 88
Life expectancy
68
about 51 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's road accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Road accidents25%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.95%
  2. 02Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)12%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  3. 03Suicide10%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  4. 04Other accidents9.2%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  5. 05Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)6.8%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  6. 06Heart attack & coronary heart disease6.4%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 32%
  7. 07Pneumonia & flu5.1%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  8. 08Heart failure & other heart disease3.7%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
Show the other 17 causes21% together
  1. 09Brain cancer3.1%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  2. 10Other cancers2.9%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  3. 11Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  4. 12Accidental poisoning & overdose1.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.63%
  5. 13Drowning1.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  6. 14Other digestive disease1.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  7. 15Falls1.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  8. 16Leukaemia & lymphoma1.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  9. 17Kidney disease1.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.76%
  10. 18Stroke0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  11. 19Other mental health conditions0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  12. 20Homicide0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  13. 21Diabetes0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
  14. 22Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.5%
  15. 23Other causes0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  16. 24Pancreatic cancer0.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  17. 25Liver cancer0.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Moldova, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Moldova (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 15–19 in Moldova

How long people like this live: life expectancy.