Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old girl in the Netherlands most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.01%
1 in 7,906
Next 10 years
0.19%
1 in 516
Life expectancy
84
about 67 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide26%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  2. 02Other mental health conditions10%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  3. 03Road accidents8.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  4. 04Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)6.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  5. 05Congenital conditions4.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  6. 06Other cancers4.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
  7. 07Brain cancer3.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  8. 08High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
Show the other 25 causes33% together
  1. 09Leukaemia & lymphoma3.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  2. 10Pneumonia & flu3.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  3. 11Other causes3.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  4. 12Accidental poisoning & overdose3.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  5. 13Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  6. 14Heart failure & other heart disease1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  7. 15Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  8. 16Other digestive disease1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  9. 17Stroke1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.9%
  10. 18Breast cancer1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  11. 19Falls1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.4%
  12. 20Diabetes1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  13. 21Homicide1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  14. 22Other lung disease0.98%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  15. 23Colorectal cancer0.89%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  16. 24Lung cancer0.69%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  17. 25Uterine & ovarian cancer0.53%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  18. 26COPD & chronic lung disease0.53%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  19. 27Melanoma (skin cancer)0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  20. 28Kidney disease0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  21. 29COVID-190.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  22. 30Other accidents0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  23. 31Drowning0.39%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  24. 32Cervical cancer0.20%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  25. 33Kidney cancer0.20%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 113, 113 Zelfmoordpreventie — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in the Netherlands, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for the Netherlands (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 15–19 in the Netherlands

How long people like this live: life expectancy.