Odainn
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What is a 22-year-old man in Belarus most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
22
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.07%
1 in 1,365
Next 10 years
1.2%
1 in 80
Life expectancy
70
about 48 more years on average
The surpriseAt 22, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide21%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease14%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  3. 03Accidental poisoning & overdose12%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  4. 04Road accidents9.5%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.75%
  5. 05Other accidents6.1%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  6. 06Drowning3.9%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  7. 07Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)3.4%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  8. 08Falls2.6%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
Show the other 26 causes27% together
  1. 09Heart attack & coronary heart disease2.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 30%
  2. 10Other cancers2.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  3. 11Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  4. 12Pneumonia & flu2.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  5. 13Homicide2.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  6. 14Stroke1.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 15%
  7. 15Other digestive disease1.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  8. 16Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.6%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  9. 17Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  10. 18Brain cancer1.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  11. 19High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.5%
  12. 20Congenital conditions1.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  13. 21Leukaemia & lymphoma0.97%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  14. 22Alcohol use disorder0.70%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  15. 23Stomach cancer0.64%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  16. 24Other causes0.58%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  17. 25Colorectal cancer0.47%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  18. 26Kidney disease0.39%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.74%
  19. 27Other mental health conditions0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  20. 28Liver cancer0.34%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  21. 29Other lung disease0.27%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  22. 30Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.13%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  23. 31Lung cancer0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  24. 32Diabetes0.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  25. 33Drug use disorder0.08%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  26. 34Kidney cancer0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 133, the national psychological emergency line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

Causes estimated. Belarus publishes deaths by age and deaths by cause, but not the two together, so the split by cause is Odainn's estimate: Belstat's official 2018 totals, spread by the age and cause patterns of Lithuania and Latvia. Life expectancy and the odds of dying are official. How

For people like a 22-year-old man in Belarus, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Belarus (2018), Belstat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 20–24 in Belarus

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 22-year-old man in Belarus

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Belarus Ministry of Health dispensary check (2024) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.