What kills people in the UK at each age
Eight facts computed from every death registered in England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland (2023–2024; ONS, NRS and NISRA) and population estimates, next to 36 other countries (Belarus, whose causes of death by age are estimated, only where life expectancy is compared). Every number links to the page it comes from. Free to cite with a link.
Until 40, the most likely cause of death for people in the UK is suicide or an overdose
The most likely cause of death over the next 10 years, by age (accidental poisoning is mostly drug overdoses):
Causes are grouped the same way for every country, so they can differ from ONS's own leading-causes list (which, for example, counts deaths of undetermined intent with suicide).
Suicide and overdoses are among the most preventable causes of death. If you or someone you love is struggling, call Samaritans on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time. Or find help at findahelpline.com.
A 45-year-old British man is 1.9 times as likely to die in the next year as a Swedish one
Chance of dying in the next 12 months, at each age:
| men · 1 in | UK | IE | DE | SE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 1 in 1,598 | 1 in 1,764 | 1 in 2,184 | 1 in 1,585 |
| 35 | 1 in 772 | 1 in 1,322 | 1 in 1,012 | 1 in 1,217 |
| 45 | 1 in 355 | 1 in 577 | 1 in 413 | 1 in 688 |
| 55 | 1 in 161 | 1 in 217 | 1 in 149 | 1 in 253 |
| 65 | 1 in 69 | 1 in 83 | 1 in 55 | 1 in 86 |
At 25 the odds are about the same. Heart disease, liver disease and overdoses explain 47% of the midlife gap over the next 10 years. For women at 45: 1.8 times.
British men in their late 30s have the 6th-highest overdose risk of 36 countries
Chance of dying from accidental poisoning (mostly drug overdoses) within 10 years, men aged 35–39 — higher only in the United States, Canada, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania:
- United States0.74%
- Canada0.59%
- Estonia0.38%
- Latvia0.36%
- Lithuania0.34%
- United Kingdom0.31%
- Iceland0.29%
- Norway0.21%
- Finland0.17%
- Ireland0.16%
Overdoses are preventable, and treatment works. If you or someone you love is struggling, call Samaritans on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time. Or find help at findahelpline.com.
After Finland, the UK has the highest risk of dying from dementia of all 36 countries
Chance of dying of dementia within 10 years, men aged 80–84:
It is the most likely cause of death for UK women from 70 and men from 80. Part of the gap between countries is how deaths are recorded: how often doctors write dementia on the death certificate differs from country to country.
British women in their late 60s have the 2nd-highest risk of dying from COPD of 36 countries
Chance of dying from COPD within 10 years, women aged 65–69 — in the UK 2.2 times the median country's:
- Denmark1.6%
- United Kingdom1.3%
- Hungary1.3%
- Norway1.3%
- United States1.2%
- Netherlands1.2%
- Ireland1.1%
- Germany1.1%
COPD is mostly caused by smoking, and it shows decades later. Stopping at any age slows it down.
A 20-year-old British man has an 81% chance of reaching 70
Chance that a 20-year-old man lives to 70, at today's death rates (women in the UK: 87%):
Life expectancy: the UK ranks 18th of 37 for men and 22nd for women
Life expectancy at birth, men (years):
- Switzerland82.1
- Sweden81.5
- Norway81.3
- Italy81.1
- Iceland81.0
- Spain81.0
- Ireland80.9
- Cyprus80.9
- Malta80.7
- Luxembourg80.4
- Netherlands80.2
- Belgium80.1
- France79.9
- Canada79.7
- Denmark79.6
- Austria79.4
- Portugal79.3
- United Kingdom79.2
- Greece79.0
- Finland78.9
- Slovenia78.5
- Germany78.4
- Czechia76.8
- United States76.0
- Croatia75.3
- Slovakia74.8
- Türkiye74.7
- Poland74.6
- Estonia74.2
- Serbia73.6
- Hungary73.3
- Lithuania72.8
- Romania72.5
- Bulgaria71.9
- Latvia70.4
- Belarus69.2
- Moldova67.4
Diseases of aging become UK men's top threat at 42 — and women's at 38
The age at which heart disease, cancer, lung, brain or metabolic disease becomes the most likely cause of death — before it, it's suicide and overdoses. Men, by country:
See what's most likely to kill someone of your age and sex in the UK — for example men aged 40–44. Free.
Computed by Odainn from official mortality statistics for the UK (2023–2024) — how we calculate. Contains public sector information from the Office for National Statistics, National Records of Scotland and NISRA, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Also: Europe, the US, Canada. Population statistics, not predictions for any individual. Educational, not medical advice.