Odainn

What are men aged 80–84 in Denmark most likely to die from?

For an 82-year-old man in Denmark, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are dementia & Alzheimer's, heart attack & coronary heart disease and COPD & chronic lung disease — together 25% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 6.9% (1 in 15); over 10 years it is 73%.

Next 12 months
6.9%
1 in 15
Next 10 years
73%
about 7 in 10
Life expectancy
89
about 7 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Dementia & Alzheimer's10%
    7.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease7.4%
    5.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.5%
  3. 03COPD & chronic lung disease6.7%
    4.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  4. 04Heart failure & other heart disease6.6%
    4.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.2%
  5. 05Prostate cancer6.5%
    4.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
  6. 06Stroke6.0%
    4.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  7. 07High blood pressure & other circulatory disease5.7%
    4.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.0%
  8. 08Pneumonia & flu5.0%
    3.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  9. 09Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)4.7%
    3.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  10. 10Other cancers3.9%
    2.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
Show the other 33 causes37% together
  1. 11Lung cancer3.8%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  2. 12Other causes3.0%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  3. 13Diabetes3.0%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  4. 14Colorectal cancer2.9%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  5. 15Other digestive disease2.8%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  6. 16Leukaemia & lymphoma2.4%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  7. 17COVID-192.2%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  8. 18Parkinson's disease2.1%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  9. 19Other lung disease2.1%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  10. 20Kidney disease2.0%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  11. 21Falls1.8%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  12. 22Pancreatic cancer1.5%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  13. 23Bladder cancer1.2%
    0.87% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  14. 24Liver cancer0.74%
    0.54% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  15. 25Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.67%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  16. 26Oesophageal cancer0.62%
    0.45% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  17. 27Other accidents0.61%
    0.44% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  18. 28Stomach cancer0.57%
    0.41% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  19. 29Kidney cancer0.47%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  20. 30Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.40%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  21. 31Other mental health conditions0.40%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  22. 32Melanoma (skin cancer)0.38%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  23. 33Suicide0.36%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  24. 34Brain cancer0.33%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  25. 35Alcohol use disorder0.22%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  26. 36Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.22%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  27. 37Road accidents0.21%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  28. 38Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.12%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  29. 39Breast cancer0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  30. 40Drowning0.03%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  31. 41Accidental poisoning & overdose0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  32. 42Congenital conditions0.01%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  33. 43Homicide0.01%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Livslinien on 70 201 201 (09:00–05:00, normal call rate) — confidential; at other times, call 112 (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 82-year-old man in Denmark, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Denmark (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 82-year-old man in Denmark

If you smoke or used to:

Based on Danish national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 80–84 in Denmark?
Dementia & Alzheimer's: 10% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for an 82-year-old man in Denmark, followed by heart attack & coronary heart disease and COPD & chronic lung disease.
What is the chance that an 82-year-old man in Denmark dies in the next year?
6.9% (1 in 15). Over the next 10 years it is 73% (about 7 in 10).
How long can an 82-year-old man in Denmark expect to live?
On average, to about 89 — around 7 more years, based on Denmark's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for an 82-year-old man in Denmark?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Danish national screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Denmark (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.