Odainn

What are men aged 80–84 in Belgium most likely to die from?

For an 82-year-old man in Belgium, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart failure & other heart disease, dementia & Alzheimer's and heart attack & coronary heart disease — together 28% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 6.3% (1 in 16); over 10 years it is 70%.

Next 12 months
6.3%
1 in 16
Next 10 years
70%
about 7 in 10
Life expectancy
90
about 8 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease13%
    9.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 15%
  2. 02Dementia & Alzheimer's7.5%
    5.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.6%
  3. 03Heart attack & coronary heart disease7.1%
    5.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.9%
  4. 04Pneumonia & flu5.9%
    4.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.8%
  5. 05Stroke5.4%
    3.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.4%
  6. 06Other cancers4.7%
    3.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  7. 07COPD & chronic lung disease4.3%
    3.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  8. 08Lung cancer4.0%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  9. 09Other causes3.8%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  10. 10Other lung disease3.8%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
Show the other 33 causes40% together
  1. 11Prostate cancer3.7%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  2. 12Other digestive disease3.4%
    2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  3. 13COVID-193.3%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  4. 14Kidney disease2.9%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  5. 15High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.8%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  6. 16Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.6%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  7. 17Falls2.4%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  8. 18Colorectal cancer2.3%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  9. 19Parkinson's disease2.3%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  10. 20Leukaemia & lymphoma2.3%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  11. 21Other accidents1.9%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  12. 22Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.5%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  13. 23Bladder cancer1.4%
    0.98% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  14. 24Diabetes1.3%
    0.91% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  15. 25Pancreatic cancer1.3%
    0.88% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  16. 26Liver cancer0.79%
    0.55% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  17. 27Stomach cancer0.56%
    0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  18. 28Oesophageal cancer0.54%
    0.38% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.41%
  19. 29Kidney cancer0.51%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  20. 30Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.41%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  21. 31Suicide0.41%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  22. 32Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.34%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  23. 33Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.33%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  24. 34Melanoma (skin cancer)0.30%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  25. 35Other mental health conditions0.27%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  26. 36Brain cancer0.20%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  27. 37Road accidents0.12%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  28. 38Alcohol use disorder0.08%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  29. 39Accidental poisoning & overdose0.06%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  30. 40Breast cancer0.06%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  31. 41Drowning0.03%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  32. 42Congenital conditions0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  33. 43Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 1813 (Zelfmoordlijn) or 0800 32 123 (Centre de Prévention du Suicide) — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 82-year-old man in Belgium, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Belgium (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.
Embed this on your site

Free to use with the link back. The image updates when the data does.

These are averages. You aren't average.

Smoking, exercise, weight, alcohol and diet change these numbers. Get your personal numbers and the changes that give you the most years back — free.

Get your numbersTry another age
What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 82-year-old man in Belgium

If you smoke or used to:

Based on the Belgian regional screening programmes, INAMI/RIZIV rules and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 80–84 in Belgium?
Heart failure & other heart disease: 13% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for an 82-year-old man in Belgium, followed by dementia & Alzheimer's and heart attack & coronary heart disease.
What is the chance that an 82-year-old man in Belgium dies in the next year?
6.3% (1 in 16). Over the next 10 years it is 70% (about 7 in 10).
How long can an 82-year-old man in Belgium expect to live?
On average, to about 90 — around 8 more years, based on Belgium's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for an 82-year-old man in Belgium?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Belgian regional screening programmes, INAMI/RIZIV rules and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Belgium (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.