Odainn

What are men aged 45–49 in Belgium most likely to die from?

For a 47-year-old man in Belgium, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, heart attack & coronary heart disease and lung cancer — together 25% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.22% (1 in 446); over 10 years it is 3.3%.

Next 12 months
0.22%
1 in 446
Next 10 years
3.3%
1 in 30
Life expectancy
82
about 35 more years on average
The surpriseAt 47, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide9.4%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease8.6%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.2%
  3. 03Lung cancer6.9%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.2%
  4. 04Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)6.3%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  5. 05Other cancers5.3%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
  6. 06Heart failure & other heart disease4.1%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  7. 07Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.5%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  8. 08Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)3.4%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  9. 09Other digestive disease3.3%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  10. 10Stroke3.2%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
Show the other 34 causes46% together
  1. 11High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.1%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  2. 12COPD & chronic lung disease2.7%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  3. 13Colorectal cancer2.7%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  4. 14Road accidents2.4%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  5. 15Falls2.4%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  6. 16Other accidents2.3%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  7. 17Pancreatic cancer2.2%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  8. 18Brain cancer2.1%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  9. 19Alcohol use disorder2.0%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  10. 20Other causes2.0%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  11. 21Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.0%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  12. 22Accidental poisoning & overdose1.9%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  13. 23Mouth, throat & larynx cancer1.7%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.72%
  14. 24Other lung disease1.7%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  15. 25Oesophageal cancer1.5%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.85%
  16. 26Pneumonia & flu1.4%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
  17. 27Leukaemia & lymphoma1.3%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  18. 28Liver cancer1.3%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  19. 29Stomach cancer1.2%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  20. 30Diabetes1.2%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  21. 31Melanoma (skin cancer)0.84%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  22. 32Kidney cancer0.82%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  23. 33Congenital conditions0.70%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  24. 34Drug use disorder0.69%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  25. 35Other mental health conditions0.68%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  26. 36Prostate cancer0.63%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  27. 37COVID-190.62%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  28. 38Bladder cancer0.60%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  29. 39Kidney disease0.48%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  30. 40Homicide0.42%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  31. 41Drowning0.36%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  32. 42Dementia & Alzheimer's0.15%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.4%
  33. 43Breast cancer0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  34. 44Parkinson's disease0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 1813 (Zelfmoordlijn) or 0800 32 123 (Centre de Prévention du Suicide) — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 47-year-old man in Belgium, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Belgium (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 47-year-old man in Belgium

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Belgian regional screening programmes, INAMI/RIZIV rules and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 45–49 in Belgium?
Suicide: 9.4% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 47-year-old man in Belgium, followed by heart attack & coronary heart disease and lung cancer.
What is the chance that a 47-year-old man in Belgium dies in the next year?
0.22% (1 in 446). Over the next 10 years it is 3.3% (1 in 30).
How long can a 47-year-old man in Belgium expect to live?
On average, to about 82 — around 35 more years, based on Belgium's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 47-year-old man in Belgium?
Blood pressure check; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Belgian regional screening programmes, INAMI/RIZIV rules and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Belgium (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.