Odainn

What are women aged 15–19 in Belgium most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old girl in Belgium, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, road accidents and other neurological disease — together 43% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.02% (1 in 5,600); over 10 years it is 0.20%.

Next 12 months
0.02%
1 in 5,600
Next 10 years
0.20%
1 in 508
Life expectancy
85
about 68 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide23%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  2. 02Road accidents14%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  3. 03Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)5.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  4. 04Heart failure & other heart disease5.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  5. 05Congenital conditions4.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  6. 06Other causes4.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  7. 07Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)4.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  8. 08Other cancers4.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  9. 09Brain cancer3.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  10. 10Accidental poisoning & overdose3.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
Show the other 24 causes26% together
  1. 11Other lung disease2.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  2. 12Other mental health conditions2.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  3. 13Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  4. 14Other accidents2.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  5. 15Homicide1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  6. 16High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  7. 17Leukaemia & lymphoma1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  8. 18Stroke1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  9. 19Breast cancer1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  10. 20Falls1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  11. 21Drowning1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  12. 22Lung cancer1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  13. 23Colorectal cancer0.83%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  14. 24Melanoma (skin cancer)0.83%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  15. 25Drug use disorder0.83%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  16. 26Liver cancer0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  17. 27Uterine & ovarian cancer0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  18. 28Pneumonia & flu0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  19. 29Bladder cancer0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  20. 30COPD & chronic lung disease0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  21. 31Diabetes0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  22. 32Other digestive disease0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  23. 33Alcohol use disorder0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  24. 34COVID-190.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 1813 (Zelfmoordlijn) or 0800 32 123 (Centre de Prévention du Suicide) — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Belgium, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Belgium (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.
Embed this on your site

Free to use with the link back. The image updates when the data does.

These are averages. You aren't average.

Smoking, exercise, weight, alcohol and diet change these numbers. Get your personal numbers and the changes that give you the most years back — free.

Get your numbersTry another age

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 15–19 in Belgium?
Suicide: 23% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old girl in Belgium, followed by road accidents and other neurological disease.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old girl in Belgium dies in the next year?
0.02% (1 in 5,600). Over the next 10 years it is 0.20% (1 in 508).
How long can a 17-year-old girl in Belgium expect to live?
On average, to about 85 — around 68 more years, based on Belgium's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Belgium (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.