Odainn

What are women aged 15–19 in Norway most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old girl in Norway, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, accidental poisoning & overdose and road accidents — together 73% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.02% (1 in 5,164); over 10 years it is 0.22%.

Next 12 months
0.02%
1 in 5,164
Next 10 years
0.22%
1 in 459
Life expectancy
85
about 68 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide42%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.63%
  2. 02Accidental poisoning & overdose21%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  3. 03Road accidents9.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  4. 04Leukaemia & lymphoma5.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  5. 05Homicide3.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  6. 06Other digestive disease3.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  7. 07High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
  8. 08Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  9. 09Other mental health conditions2.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  10. 10Other accidents1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
Show the other 9 causes7.1% together
  1. 11Other cancers1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  2. 12Breast cancer1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  3. 13Cervical cancer1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  4. 14Lung cancer0.89%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  5. 15Heart failure & other heart disease0.54%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.1%
  6. 16Brain cancer0.54%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  7. 17Pneumonia & flu0.54%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  8. 18Diabetes0.54%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  9. 19Congenital conditions0.54%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Mental Helse on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Norway, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Norway (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 15–19 in Norway?
Suicide: 42% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old girl in Norway, followed by accidental poisoning & overdose and road accidents.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old girl in Norway dies in the next year?
0.02% (1 in 5,164). Over the next 10 years it is 0.22% (1 in 459).
How long can a 17-year-old girl in Norway expect to live?
On average, to about 85 — around 68 more years, based on Norway's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Norway (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.