Odainn

What are women aged 15–19 in Lithuania most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old girl in Lithuania, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, other neurological disease and stomach cancer — together 31% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.03% (1 in 3,926); over 10 years it is 0.24%.

Next 12 months
0.03%
1 in 3,926
Next 10 years
0.24%
1 in 410
Life expectancy
82
about 65 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide12%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  2. 02Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)11%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  3. 03Stomach cancer7.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  4. 04Other digestive disease7.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  5. 05Road accidents7.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  6. 06Pneumonia & flu5.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  7. 07Falls5.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  8. 08Other causes5.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  9. 09High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.8%
  10. 10Brain cancer4.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
Show the other 12 causes29% together
  1. 11Other cancers3.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  2. 12Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)3.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  3. 13Accidental poisoning & overdose3.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  4. 14Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)3.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  5. 15Congenital conditions2.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  6. 16Pregnancy & childbirth2.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  7. 17Liver cancer2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  8. 18Diabetes2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  9. 19Drowning2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  10. 20Homicide2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  11. 21Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 36%
  12. 22Cervical cancer1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.73%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Vilties linija on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Lithuania, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Lithuania (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 15–19 in Lithuania?
Suicide: 12% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old girl in Lithuania, followed by other neurological disease and stomach cancer.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old girl in Lithuania dies in the next year?
0.03% (1 in 3,926). Over the next 10 years it is 0.24% (1 in 410).
How long can a 17-year-old girl in Lithuania expect to live?
On average, to about 82 — around 65 more years, based on Lithuania's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Lithuania (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.