Odainn

What are women aged 15–19 in Moldova most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old girl in Moldova, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are road accidents, other neurological disease and other injuries — together 37% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.03% (1 in 3,222); over 10 years it is 0.44%.

Next 12 months
0.03%
1 in 3,222
Next 10 years
0.44%
1 in 225
Life expectancy
77
about 60 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's road accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Road accidents15%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  2. 02Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)14%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  3. 03Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)7.9%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  4. 04Other causes6.7%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  5. 05Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)6.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  6. 06Suicide6.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  7. 07Stroke5.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 18%
  8. 08Pregnancy & childbirth5.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  9. 09Pneumonia & flu4.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  10. 10Congenital conditions4.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
Show the other 14 causes24% together
  1. 11Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)3.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  2. 12Drowning3.6%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  3. 13Diabetes2.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  4. 14Heart attack & coronary heart disease2.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 42%
  5. 15Heart failure & other heart disease2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  6. 16Breast cancer2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  7. 17Colorectal cancer1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  8. 18Other digestive disease1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  9. 19Kidney disease1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.84%
  10. 20Other mental health conditions0.91%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  11. 21Other accidents0.91%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  12. 22Liver cancer0.62%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  13. 23Leukaemia & lymphoma0.62%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  14. 24Homicide0.62%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Moldova, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Moldova (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 15–19 in Moldova?
Road accidents: 15% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old girl in Moldova, followed by other neurological disease and other injuries.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old girl in Moldova dies in the next year?
0.03% (1 in 3,222). Over the next 10 years it is 0.44% (1 in 225).
How long can a 17-year-old girl in Moldova expect to live?
On average, to about 77 — around 60 more years, based on Moldova's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Moldova (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.