Odainn

What are women aged 15–19 in Iceland most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old girl in Iceland, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are accidental poisoning & overdose, brain cancer and other cancers — together 52% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is <0.01% (1 in 11,118); over 10 years it is 0.24%.

Next 12 months
<0.01%
1 in 11,118
Next 10 years
0.24%
1 in 417
Life expectancy
84
about 67 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's accidental poisoning & overdose.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Accidental poisoning & overdose30%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  2. 02Brain cancer11%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.76%
  3. 03Other cancers11%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  4. 04Pneumonia & flu11%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  5. 05Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)11%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  6. 06Drowning11%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  7. 07Suicide3.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  8. 08Heart failure & other heart disease1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.1%
  9. 09Uterine & ovarian cancer1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  10. 10Diabetes1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
Show the other 3 causes5.5% together
  1. 11Drug use disorder1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  2. 12Falls1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  3. 13Homicide1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the Red Cross helpline on 1717 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Iceland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Iceland (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 15–19 in Iceland?
Accidental poisoning & overdose: 30% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old girl in Iceland, followed by brain cancer and other cancers.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old girl in Iceland dies in the next year?
<0.01% (1 in 11,118). Over the next 10 years it is 0.24% (1 in 417).
How long can a 17-year-old girl in Iceland expect to live?
On average, to about 84 — around 67 more years, based on Iceland's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Iceland (2018, 2019 and 2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.