Odainn

What are women aged 15–19 in Finland most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old girl in Finland, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, accidental poisoning & overdose and heart failure & other heart disease — together 60% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.03% (1 in 3,377); over 10 years it is 0.34%.

Next 12 months
0.03%
1 in 3,377
Next 10 years
0.34%
1 in 290
Life expectancy
84
about 67 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide39%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  2. 02Accidental poisoning & overdose16%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  3. 03Heart failure & other heart disease4.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  4. 04Other cancers4.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  5. 05Brain cancer3.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  6. 06Drug use disorder3.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  7. 07Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)3.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  8. 08Other causes3.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  9. 09Homicide3.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  10. 10Falls2.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
Show the other 14 causes15% together
  1. 11Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  2. 12Stroke1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.2%
  3. 13Road accidents1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  4. 14Leukaemia & lymphoma1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  5. 15Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  6. 16Diabetes1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
  7. 17Pancreatic cancer0.98%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  8. 18Other mental health conditions0.98%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  9. 19COVID-190.58%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  10. 20Congenital conditions0.58%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  11. 21Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  12. 22Other digestive disease0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  13. 23Drowning0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  14. 24Other accidents0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the MIELI crisis line on 09 2525 0111 (normal call rate) — confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Finland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Finland (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 15–19 in Finland?
Suicide: 39% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old girl in Finland, followed by accidental poisoning & overdose and heart failure & other heart disease.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old girl in Finland dies in the next year?
0.03% (1 in 3,377). Over the next 10 years it is 0.34% (1 in 290).
How long can a 17-year-old girl in Finland expect to live?
On average, to about 84 — around 67 more years, based on Finland's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Finland (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.