Odainn

What are men aged 15–19 in Finland most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old boy in Finland, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, accidental poisoning & overdose and road accidents — together 67% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.05% (1 in 1,969); over 10 years it is 0.79%.

Next 12 months
0.05%
1 in 1,969
Next 10 years
0.79%
1 in 126
Life expectancy
79
about 62 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide30%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  2. 02Accidental poisoning & overdose29%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.95%
  3. 03Road accidents7.8%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  4. 04Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)5.8%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  5. 05Drug use disorder4.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  6. 06Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.8%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  7. 07Heart failure & other heart disease2.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  8. 08Leukaemia & lymphoma2.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  9. 09Homicide1.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  10. 10Other cancers1.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
Show the other 15 causes11% together
  1. 11Other causes1.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  2. 12Congenital conditions1.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  3. 13Other accidents1.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.80%
  4. 14Drowning1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  5. 15High blood pressure & other circulatory disease0.97%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.4%
  6. 16Brain cancer0.93%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  7. 17Diabetes0.93%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  8. 18Other digestive disease0.69%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  9. 19Stroke0.64%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  10. 20Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.40%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
  11. 21Oesophageal cancer0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.82%
  12. 22COVID-190.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  13. 23Falls0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  14. 24Bladder cancer0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.72%
  15. 25COPD & chronic lung disease0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the MIELI crisis line on 09 2525 0111 (normal call rate) — confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Finland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Finland (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 15–19 in Finland?
Suicide: 30% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old boy in Finland, followed by accidental poisoning & overdose and road accidents.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old boy in Finland dies in the next year?
0.05% (1 in 1,969). Over the next 10 years it is 0.79% (1 in 126).
How long can a 17-year-old boy in Finland expect to live?
On average, to about 79 — around 62 more years, based on Finland's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Finland (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.