Odainn

What are men aged 15–19 in Spain most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old boy in Spain, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are road accidents, suicide and other neurological disease — together 49% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.02% (1 in 5,089); over 10 years it is 0.33%.

Next 12 months
0.02%
1 in 5,089
Next 10 years
0.33%
1 in 300
Life expectancy
81
about 64 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's road accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Road accidents22%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  2. 02Suicide19%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  3. 03Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)7.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  4. 04Other cancers6.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  5. 05Accidental poisoning & overdose5.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  6. 06Leukaemia & lymphoma4.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  7. 07Other accidents4.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  8. 08Heart failure & other heart disease3.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.8%
  9. 09Falls3.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  10. 10Drowning3.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
Show the other 29 causes21% together
  1. 11Other lung disease2.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.6%
  2. 12Homicide2.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  3. 13Other causes2.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  4. 14Congenital conditions2.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  5. 15Stroke1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  6. 16Brain cancer1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
  7. 17Other digestive disease1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  8. 18Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.91%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  9. 19Pneumonia & flu0.88%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  10. 20High blood pressure & other circulatory disease0.79%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  11. 21Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.68%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.6%
  12. 22COVID-190.63%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  13. 23Colorectal cancer0.53%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  14. 24Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  15. 25Complications around birth0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  16. 26Liver cancer0.32%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  17. 27Stomach cancer0.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  18. 28Melanoma (skin cancer)0.26%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  19. 29Diabetes0.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  20. 30Lung cancer0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  21. 31Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  22. 32COPD & chronic lung disease0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  23. 33Oesophageal cancer0.16%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  24. 34Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.16%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  25. 35Kidney disease0.16%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  26. 36Prostate cancer0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  27. 37Bladder cancer0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  28. 38Other mental health conditions0.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  29. 39Pancreatic cancer0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 024, the suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Spain, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Spain (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.
Embed this on your site

Free to use with the link back. The image updates when the data does.

These are averages. You aren't average.

Smoking, exercise, weight, alcohol and diet change these numbers. Get your personal numbers and the changes that give you the most years back — free.

Get your numbersTry another age

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 15–19 in Spain?
Road accidents: 22% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old boy in Spain, followed by suicide and other neurological disease.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old boy in Spain dies in the next year?
0.02% (1 in 5,089). Over the next 10 years it is 0.33% (1 in 300).
How long can a 17-year-old boy in Spain expect to live?
On average, to about 81 — around 64 more years, based on Spain's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Spain (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.