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What are men aged 15–19 in Latvia most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old boy in Latvia, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, road accidents and heart failure & other heart disease — together 44% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.07% (1 in 1,396); over 10 years it is 1.0%.

Next 12 months
0.07%
1 in 1,396
Next 10 years
1.0%
1 in 97
Life expectancy
71
about 54 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide18%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  2. 02Road accidents13%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  3. 03Heart failure & other heart disease13%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.4%
  4. 04Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)7.6%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  5. 05Accidental poisoning & overdose7.2%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  6. 06Other accidents6.8%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  7. 07Drowning6.7%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  8. 08Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)4.4%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  9. 09Other cancers3.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  10. 10Homicide2.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
Show the other 19 causes17% together
  1. 11Brain cancer2.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  2. 12Leukaemia & lymphoma1.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  3. 13Other digestive disease1.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  4. 14Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  5. 15Pneumonia & flu1.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  6. 16High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.3%
  7. 17Liver cancer1.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  8. 18Congenital conditions1.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  9. 19Other causes1.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  10. 20Stroke0.74%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  11. 21Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.63%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 23%
  12. 22Alcohol use disorder0.63%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  13. 23Falls0.63%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  14. 24Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.50%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  15. 25Melanoma (skin cancer)0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  16. 26Other mental health conditions0.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  17. 27Colorectal cancer0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  18. 28Stomach cancer0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  19. 29Kidney disease0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.87%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the national crisis line on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Latvia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Latvia (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 15–19 in Latvia?
Suicide: 18% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old boy in Latvia, followed by road accidents and heart failure & other heart disease.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old boy in Latvia dies in the next year?
0.07% (1 in 1,396). Over the next 10 years it is 1.0% (1 in 97).
How long can a 17-year-old boy in Latvia expect to live?
On average, to about 71 — around 54 more years, based on Latvia's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Latvia (2018, 2019 and 2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.