Odainn

What are men aged 15–19 in Switzerland most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old boy in Switzerland, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, accidental poisoning & overdose and road accidents — together 59% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.03% (1 in 3,770); over 10 years it is 0.37%.

Next 12 months
0.03%
1 in 3,770
Next 10 years
0.37%
1 in 273
Life expectancy
83
about 66 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide28%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  2. 02Accidental poisoning & overdose16%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  3. 03Road accidents15%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  4. 04Other accidents8.9%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.79%
  5. 05Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)5.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  6. 06Drowning3.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  7. 07Brain cancer3.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.71%
  8. 08Homicide2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  9. 09Falls2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  10. 10Other cancers1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
Show the other 16 causes14% together
  1. 11Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  2. 12Congenital conditions1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  3. 13Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  4. 14Other causes1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  5. 15Drug use disorder1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  6. 16Pneumonia & flu1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  7. 17Heart failure & other heart disease1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.6%
  8. 18Diabetes0.84%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  9. 19High blood pressure & other circulatory disease0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  10. 20Alcohol use disorder0.57%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  11. 21Other mental health conditions0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  12. 22Colorectal cancer0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  13. 23Oesophageal cancer0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.71%
  14. 24Leukaemia & lymphoma0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  15. 25Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.88%
  16. 26Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Die Dargebotene Hand on 143 (a small charge per call) — confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Switzerland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Switzerland (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 15–19 in Switzerland?
Suicide: 28% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old boy in Switzerland, followed by accidental poisoning & overdose and road accidents.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old boy in Switzerland dies in the next year?
0.03% (1 in 3,770). Over the next 10 years it is 0.37% (1 in 273).
How long can a 17-year-old boy in Switzerland expect to live?
On average, to about 83 — around 66 more years, based on Switzerland's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Switzerland (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.