Odainn

What are men aged 70–74 in Switzerland most likely to die from?

For a 72-year-old man in Switzerland, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, lung cancer and heart failure & other heart disease — together 24% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 1.7% (1 in 58); over 10 years it is 27%.

Next 12 months
1.7%
1 in 58
Next 10 years
27%
about 3 in 10
Life expectancy
87
about 15 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease11%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  2. 02Lung cancer7.1%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  3. 03Heart failure & other heart disease6.0%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.4%
  4. 04Dementia & Alzheimer's5.5%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.8%
  5. 05Prostate cancer5.1%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
  6. 06High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.8%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.0%
  7. 07Other cancers4.8%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  8. 08COPD & chronic lung disease4.2%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  9. 09Stroke4.2%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  10. 10Leukaemia & lymphoma3.1%
    0.84% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
Show the other 33 causes45% together
  1. 11Other digestive disease3.1%
    0.84% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  2. 12Colorectal cancer3.0%
    0.82% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  3. 13Pancreatic cancer3.0%
    0.81% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  4. 14Other causes2.8%
    0.75% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  5. 15Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.6%
    0.69% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  6. 16Falls2.4%
    0.65% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  7. 17Parkinson's disease2.2%
    0.60% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  8. 18Liver cancer2.2%
    0.59% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  9. 19COVID-192.2%
    0.58% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  10. 20Other lung disease2.1%
    0.58% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  11. 21Diabetes2.0%
    0.53% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  12. 22Pneumonia & flu1.9%
    0.50% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  13. 23Bladder cancer1.7%
    0.45% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  14. 24Mouth, throat & larynx cancer1.5%
    0.41% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.75%
  15. 25Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.5%
    0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  16. 26Stomach cancer1.3%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.71%
  17. 27Suicide1.2%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  18. 28Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.1%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  19. 29Kidney disease1.1%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  20. 30Oesophageal cancer1.1%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  21. 31Brain cancer0.94%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  22. 32Melanoma (skin cancer)0.74%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  23. 33Kidney cancer0.63%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  24. 34Other accidents0.63%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  25. 35Other mental health conditions0.54%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  26. 36Alcohol use disorder0.40%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  27. 37Road accidents0.35%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  28. 38Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.23%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  29. 39Drowning0.10%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  30. 40Congenital conditions0.09%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  31. 41Accidental poisoning & overdose0.05%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  32. 42Homicide0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  33. 43Drug use disorder0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Die Dargebotene Hand on 143 (a small charge per call) — confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 72-year-old man in Switzerland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Switzerland (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 72-year-old man in Switzerland

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Swiss federal insurance rules (KLV), cantonal programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 70–74 in Switzerland?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 11% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 72-year-old man in Switzerland, followed by lung cancer and heart failure & other heart disease.
What is the chance that a 72-year-old man in Switzerland dies in the next year?
1.7% (1 in 58). Over the next 10 years it is 27% (about 3 in 10).
How long can a 72-year-old man in Switzerland expect to live?
On average, to about 87 — around 15 more years, based on Switzerland's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 72-year-old man in Switzerland?
Blood pressure check; Bowel cancer screening (stool test); Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Swiss federal insurance rules (KLV), cantonal programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Switzerland (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.