Odainn

What are men aged 70–74 in Spain most likely to die from?

For a 72-year-old man in Spain, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are lung cancer, heart attack & coronary heart disease and heart failure & other heart disease — together 24% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 2.1% (1 in 48); over 10 years it is 30%.

Next 12 months
2.1%
1 in 48
Next 10 years
30%
about 3 in 10
Life expectancy
86
about 14 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Lung cancer9.9%
    2.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease7.6%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.0%
  3. 03Heart failure & other heart disease6.3%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.6%
  4. 04Stroke5.2%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.4%
  5. 05Other cancers5.0%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  6. 06Colorectal cancer4.9%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  7. 07COPD & chronic lung disease4.9%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  8. 08Dementia & Alzheimer's4.4%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  9. 09High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.4%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.4%
  10. 10Other lung disease4.3%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.3%
Show the other 34 causes43% together
  1. 11Other digestive disease3.9%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  2. 12Other causes3.5%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.2%
  3. 13Prostate cancer3.1%
    0.93% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  4. 14Leukaemia & lymphoma2.8%
    0.81% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  5. 15Diabetes2.5%
    0.73% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  6. 16Pneumonia & flu2.4%
    0.70% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  7. 17Pancreatic cancer2.3%
    0.69% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  8. 18Bladder cancer2.1%
    0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  9. 19Liver cancer2.0%
    0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  10. 20Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.0%
    0.60% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  11. 21COVID-191.9%
    0.56% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  12. 22Kidney disease1.6%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  13. 23Parkinson's disease1.6%
    0.46% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  14. 24Stomach cancer1.5%
    0.44% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  15. 25Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.5%
    0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  16. 26Mouth, throat & larynx cancer1.4%
    0.40% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.74%
  17. 27Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.1%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  18. 28Other accidents1.0%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  19. 29Falls0.93%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  20. 30Oesophageal cancer0.80%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.41%
  21. 31Brain cancer0.76%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  22. 32Kidney cancer0.76%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  23. 33Suicide0.59%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  24. 34Melanoma (skin cancer)0.30%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  25. 35Road accidents0.29%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  26. 36Other mental health conditions0.14%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  27. 37Alcohol use disorder0.11%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  28. 38Drowning0.11%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  29. 39Congenital conditions0.07%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  30. 40Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.06%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  31. 41Breast cancer0.05%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  32. 42Accidental poisoning & overdose0.05%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  33. 43Homicide0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  34. 44Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 024, the suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 72-year-old man in Spain, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Spain (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 72-year-old man in Spain

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Spanish National Health System screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 70–74 in Spain?
Lung cancer: 9.9% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 72-year-old man in Spain, followed by heart attack & coronary heart disease and heart failure & other heart disease.
What is the chance that a 72-year-old man in Spain dies in the next year?
2.1% (1 in 48). Over the next 10 years it is 30% (about 3 in 10).
How long can a 72-year-old man in Spain expect to live?
On average, to about 86 — around 14 more years, based on Spain's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 72-year-old man in Spain?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Spanish National Health System screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Spain (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.