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What are men aged 70–74 in Türkiye most likely to die from?

For a 72-year-old man in Türkiye, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, pneumonia & flu and heart failure & other heart disease — together 36% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 3.3% (1 in 30); over 10 years it is 43%.

Next 12 months
3.3%
1 in 30
Next 10 years
43%
about 4 in 10
Life expectancy
84
about 12 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease17%
    7.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 18%
  2. 02Pneumonia & flu9.9%
    4.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  3. 03Heart failure & other heart disease9.0%
    3.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  4. 04COPD & chronic lung disease7.7%
    3.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.5%
  5. 05Stroke7.3%
    3.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.7%
  6. 06Lung cancer7.1%
    3.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  7. 07High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.8%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.7%
  8. 08Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)4.4%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  9. 09Kidney disease3.8%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  10. 10Diabetes3.3%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
Show the other 33 causes26% together
  1. 11Dementia & Alzheimer's2.2%
    0.94% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  2. 12Prostate cancer2.0%
    0.84% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  3. 13Colorectal cancer1.9%
    0.81% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  4. 14Other digestive disease1.9%
    0.81% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  5. 15Other causes1.9%
    0.80% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  6. 16Other accidents1.7%
    0.75% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  7. 17Other cancers1.7%
    0.74% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  8. 18Other lung disease1.6%
    0.66% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  9. 19Stomach cancer1.5%
    0.65% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  10. 20Leukaemia & lymphoma1.2%
    0.53% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.86%
  11. 21Pancreatic cancer1.2%
    0.51% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.80%
  12. 22Bladder cancer1.1%
    0.48% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.89%
  13. 23Falls0.75%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  14. 24Liver cancer0.69%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  15. 25Road accidents0.58%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  16. 26Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.52%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  17. 27Brain cancer0.52%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  18. 28COVID-190.51%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  19. 29Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.51%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.41%
  20. 30Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.48%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  21. 31Parkinson's disease0.41%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  22. 32Kidney cancer0.23%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  23. 33Suicide0.19%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  24. 34Oesophageal cancer0.17%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  25. 35Melanoma (skin cancer)0.11%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  26. 36Drowning0.06%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  27. 37Accidental poisoning & overdose0.05%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  28. 38Other mental health conditions0.03%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  29. 39Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.03%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  30. 40Breast cancer0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  31. 41Homicide0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  32. 42Congenital conditions0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  33. 43Alcohol use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

About these numbers. Türkiye's figures are for 2023, the year of the February earthquakes. About 50,000 earthquake deaths are counted under “other accidents”, so that cause is far higher than in an ordinary year — above all for young adults.

For people like a 72-year-old man in Türkiye, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Türkiye (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 72-year-old man in Türkiye

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Türkiye's national cancer screening programmes (Ministry of Health) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 70–74 in Türkiye?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 17% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 72-year-old man in Türkiye, followed by pneumonia & flu and heart failure & other heart disease.
What is the chance that a 72-year-old man in Türkiye dies in the next year?
3.3% (1 in 30). Over the next 10 years it is 43% (about 4 in 10).
How long can a 72-year-old man in Türkiye expect to live?
On average, to about 84 — around 12 more years, based on Türkiye's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 72-year-old man in Türkiye?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Türkiye's national cancer screening programmes (Ministry of Health) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Türkiye (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.