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What are women aged 70–74 in Türkiye most likely to die from?

For a 72-year-old woman in Türkiye, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, heart failure & other heart disease and pneumonia & flu — together 37% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 1.9% (1 in 53); over 10 years it is 31%.

Next 12 months
1.9%
1 in 53
Next 10 years
31%
about 3 in 10
Life expectancy
86
about 14 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease16%
    5.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 18%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease11%
    3.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  3. 03Pneumonia & flu9.8%
    3.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  4. 04Stroke9.3%
    2.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.4%
  5. 05High blood pressure & other circulatory disease6.8%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.3%
  6. 06Diabetes5.1%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  7. 07Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)4.8%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  8. 08Kidney disease4.7%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  9. 09COPD & chronic lung disease4.5%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  10. 10Dementia & Alzheimer's3.3%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.4%
Show the other 33 causes24% together
  1. 11Other causes2.5%
    0.77% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  2. 12Other accidents2.5%
    0.75% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  3. 13Other digestive disease2.2%
    0.67% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  4. 14Lung cancer1.7%
    0.54% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.99%
  5. 15Other lung disease1.6%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  6. 16Colorectal cancer1.5%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.95%
  7. 17Other cancers1.5%
    0.46% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.99%
  8. 18Breast cancer1.4%
    0.42% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.85%
  9. 19Pancreatic cancer1.2%
    0.38% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  10. 20Uterine & ovarian cancer1.1%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  11. 21Leukaemia & lymphoma1.1%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  12. 22Stomach cancer0.97%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  13. 23Falls0.73%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  14. 24Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.62%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  15. 25Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.53%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  16. 26Brain cancer0.50%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  17. 27Liver cancer0.48%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  18. 28Parkinson's disease0.39%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  19. 29COVID-190.38%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  20. 30Road accidents0.29%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  21. 31Bladder cancer0.24%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  22. 32Cervical cancer0.16%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  23. 33Kidney cancer0.16%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  24. 34Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.16%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  25. 35Oesophageal cancer0.14%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  26. 36Melanoma (skin cancer)0.09%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  27. 37Accidental poisoning & overdose0.06%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  28. 38Suicide0.05%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  29. 39Drowning0.04%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  30. 40Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.03%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  31. 41Other mental health conditions0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  32. 42Congenital conditions0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  33. 43Homicide0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

About these numbers. Türkiye's figures are for 2023, the year of the February earthquakes. About 50,000 earthquake deaths are counted under “other accidents”, so that cause is far higher than in an ordinary year — above all for young adults.

For people like a 72-year-old woman in Türkiye, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Türkiye (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Smoking, exercise, weight, alcohol and diet change these numbers. Get your personal numbers and the changes that give you the most years back — free.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 72-year-old woman in Türkiye

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Türkiye's national cancer screening programmes (Ministry of Health) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 70–74 in Türkiye?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 16% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 72-year-old woman in Türkiye, followed by heart failure & other heart disease and pneumonia & flu.
What is the chance that a 72-year-old woman in Türkiye dies in the next year?
1.9% (1 in 53). Over the next 10 years it is 31% (about 3 in 10).
How long can a 72-year-old woman in Türkiye expect to live?
On average, to about 86 — around 14 more years, based on Türkiye's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 72-year-old woman in Türkiye?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Türkiye's national cancer screening programmes (Ministry of Health) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Türkiye (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.