Odainn

What are women aged 70–74 in Bulgaria most likely to die from?

For a 72-year-old woman in Bulgaria, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are stroke, heart failure & other heart disease and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease — together 56% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 2.2% (1 in 46); over 10 years it is 33%.

Next 12 months
2.2%
1 in 46
Next 10 years
33%
about 3 in 10
Life expectancy
85
about 13 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Stroke22%
    7.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 25%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease22%
    7.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 26%
  3. 03High blood pressure & other circulatory disease12%
    4.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  4. 04Heart attack & coronary heart disease12%
    4.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  5. 05Other digestive disease2.8%
    0.93% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  6. 06Colorectal cancer2.7%
    0.89% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  7. 07Breast cancer2.3%
    0.77% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  8. 08Kidney disease2.3%
    0.75% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  9. 09Diabetes2.1%
    0.69% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  10. 10Pneumonia & flu2.0%
    0.67% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
Show the other 33 causes18% together
  1. 11Other cancers2.0%
    0.65% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  2. 12Lung cancer1.7%
    0.54% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.80%
  3. 13Uterine & ovarian cancer1.5%
    0.50% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.85%
  4. 14Other lung disease1.4%
    0.46% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  5. 15Pancreatic cancer1.3%
    0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.71%
  6. 16COPD & chronic lung disease1.1%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.91%
  7. 17COVID-191.0%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.96%
  8. 18Stomach cancer0.91%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  9. 19Leukaemia & lymphoma0.86%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  10. 20Brain cancer0.66%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  11. 21Liver cancer0.59%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  12. 22Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.54%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  13. 23Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.49%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  14. 24Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.46%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  15. 25Cervical cancer0.44%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  16. 26Bladder cancer0.38%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  17. 27Other causes0.34%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  18. 28Kidney cancer0.33%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  19. 29Falls0.28%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  20. 30Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.21%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  21. 31Parkinson's disease0.19%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  22. 32Dementia & Alzheimer's0.15%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  23. 33Other accidents0.14%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  24. 34Suicide0.13%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  25. 35Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.13%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  26. 36Road accidents0.12%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  27. 37Melanoma (skin cancer)0.11%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  28. 38Oesophageal cancer0.09%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  29. 39Drowning0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  30. 40Other mental health conditions0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  31. 41Accidental poisoning & overdose0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  32. 42Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  33. 43Congenital conditions<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like a 72-year-old woman in Bulgaria, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Bulgaria (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 72-year-old woman in Bulgaria

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Bulgaria's preventive check-up (NZOK, Ordinance No. 8) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 70–74 in Bulgaria?
Stroke: 22% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 72-year-old woman in Bulgaria, followed by heart failure & other heart disease and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease.
What is the chance that a 72-year-old woman in Bulgaria dies in the next year?
2.2% (1 in 46). Over the next 10 years it is 33% (about 3 in 10).
How long can a 72-year-old woman in Bulgaria expect to live?
On average, to about 85 — around 13 more years, based on Bulgaria's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 72-year-old woman in Bulgaria?
Blood pressure check; Bowel cancer screening (stool test); Breast cancer screening (mammogram); Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Bulgaria's preventive check-up (NZOK, Ordinance No. 8) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Bulgaria (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.