Odainn

What are women aged 70–74 in Germany most likely to die from?

For a 72-year-old woman in Germany, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, heart failure & other heart disease and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease — together 24% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 1.6% (1 in 63); over 10 years it is 25%.

Next 12 months
1.6%
1 in 63
Next 10 years
25%
about 2 in 10
Life expectancy
87
about 15 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease9.0%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease7.9%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  3. 03High blood pressure & other circulatory disease7.2%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  4. 04Dementia & Alzheimer's6.7%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  5. 05Stroke5.9%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.3%
  6. 06COPD & chronic lung disease5.6%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  7. 07Lung cancer5.6%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  8. 08Other cancers4.7%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  9. 09Breast cancer4.5%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  10. 10Other causes4.0%
    0.99% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
Show the other 36 causes39% together
  1. 11Other digestive disease3.4%
    0.85% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  2. 12Pancreatic cancer3.0%
    0.75% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  3. 13Colorectal cancer2.7%
    0.67% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  4. 14Leukaemia & lymphoma2.6%
    0.64% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  5. 15Diabetes2.4%
    0.59% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  6. 16COVID-192.4%
    0.58% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  7. 17Uterine & ovarian cancer2.2%
    0.53% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  8. 18Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.0%
    0.50% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  9. 19Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.0%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  10. 20Kidney disease1.8%
    0.44% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  11. 21Falls1.8%
    0.44% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  12. 22Pneumonia & flu1.7%
    0.42% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  13. 23Parkinson's disease1.4%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  14. 24Other lung disease1.2%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  15. 25Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.1%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  16. 26Liver cancer0.85%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  17. 27Other accidents0.80%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.99%
  18. 28Stomach cancer0.78%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  19. 29Brain cancer0.67%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  20. 30Kidney cancer0.48%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  21. 31Suicide0.48%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  22. 32Bladder cancer0.46%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  23. 33Other mental health conditions0.40%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  24. 34Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.40%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  25. 35Oesophageal cancer0.37%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  26. 36Melanoma (skin cancer)0.31%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  27. 37Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.31%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  28. 38Alcohol use disorder0.30%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  29. 39Cervical cancer0.26%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  30. 40Road accidents0.15%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  31. 41Congenital conditions0.09%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  32. 42Drowning0.05%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  33. 43Accidental poisoning & overdose0.05%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  34. 44Homicide0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 45Complications around birth<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  36. 46Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call TelefonSeelsorge on 0800 111 0 111 or 0800 111 0 222 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 72-year-old woman in Germany, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Germany (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 72-year-old woman in Germany

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on statutory health insurance (G-BA) screening and STIKO vaccine recommendations. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 70–74 in Germany?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 9.0% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 72-year-old woman in Germany, followed by heart failure & other heart disease and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease.
What is the chance that a 72-year-old woman in Germany dies in the next year?
1.6% (1 in 63). Over the next 10 years it is 25% (about 2 in 10).
How long can a 72-year-old woman in Germany expect to live?
On average, to about 87 — around 15 more years, based on Germany's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 72-year-old woman in Germany?
Blood pressure check; Bowel cancer screening (stool test); Breast cancer screening (mammogram); Cervical screening (HPV test); Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Skin cancer check; Blood sugar test (diabetes); Shingles vaccine. Based on statutory health insurance (G-BA) screening and STIKO vaccine recommendations.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Germany (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.