Odainn

What are women aged 90–94 in Germany most likely to die from?

For a 92-year-old woman in Germany, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart failure & other heart disease, high blood pressure & other circulatory disease and dementia & Alzheimer's — together 45% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 18% (about 2 in 10); over 10 years it is 96%.

Next 12 months
18%
about 2 in 10
Next 10 years
96%
more than 9 in 10
Life expectancy
96
about 4 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease17%
    16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
  2. 02High blood pressure & other circulatory disease15%
    14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 15%
  3. 03Dementia & Alzheimer's14%
    13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  4. 04Heart attack & coronary heart disease13%
    13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  5. 05Stroke6.1%
    5.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
  6. 06Other causes4.7%
    4.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  7. 07Kidney disease3.0%
    2.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  8. 08Other digestive disease2.9%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  9. 09Diabetes2.7%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  10. 10Falls2.6%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
Show the other 36 causes19% together
  1. 11Pneumonia & flu2.3%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  2. 12COVID-192.3%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  3. 13Other cancers2.0%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  4. 14COPD & chronic lung disease1.8%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  5. 15Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.6%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  6. 16Breast cancer1.4%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  7. 17Other accidents1.1%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  8. 18Colorectal cancer1.0%
    0.97% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  9. 19Other lung disease0.95%
    0.91% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.95%
  10. 20Parkinson's disease0.64%
    0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  11. 21Leukaemia & lymphoma0.60%
    0.57% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  12. 22Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.56%
    0.53% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  13. 23Pancreatic cancer0.46%
    0.44% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  14. 24Lung cancer0.40%
    0.38% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  15. 25Uterine & ovarian cancer0.32%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  16. 26Other mental health conditions0.24%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  17. 27Bladder cancer0.24%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  18. 28Stomach cancer0.23%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  19. 29Kidney cancer0.17%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  20. 30Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.17%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  21. 31Liver cancer0.12%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  22. 32Melanoma (skin cancer)0.11%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  23. 33Suicide0.11%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  24. 34Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.09%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  25. 35Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.09%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  26. 36Oesophageal cancer0.06%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  27. 37Brain cancer0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  28. 38Cervical cancer0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  29. 39Alcohol use disorder0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  30. 40Road accidents0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  31. 41Congenital conditions0.01%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  32. 42Accidental poisoning & overdose<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  33. 43Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  34. 44Complications around birth<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 45Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  36. 46Drowning<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call TelefonSeelsorge on 0800 111 0 111 or 0800 111 0 222 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 92-year-old woman in Germany, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Germany (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 92-year-old woman in Germany

Based on statutory health insurance (G-BA) screening and STIKO vaccine recommendations. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 90–94 in Germany?
Heart failure & other heart disease: 17% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 92-year-old woman in Germany, followed by high blood pressure & other circulatory disease and dementia & Alzheimer's.
What is the chance that a 92-year-old woman in Germany dies in the next year?
18% (about 2 in 10). Over the next 10 years it is 96% (more than 9 in 10).
How long can a 92-year-old woman in Germany expect to live?
On average, to about 96 — around 4 more years, based on Germany's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 92-year-old woman in Germany?
Blood pressure check; Bowel cancer screening (stool test); Cervical screening (HPV test); Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Skin cancer check; RSV vaccine; Blood sugar test (diabetes); Shingles vaccine. Based on statutory health insurance (G-BA) screening and STIKO vaccine recommendations.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Germany (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.