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What are women aged 90–94 in Italy most likely to die from?

For a 92-year-old woman in Italy, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are high blood pressure & other circulatory disease, heart failure & other heart disease and stroke — together 40% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 16% (about 2 in 10); over 10 years it is 94%.

Next 12 months
16%
about 2 in 10
Next 10 years
94%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
96
about 4 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01High blood pressure & other circulatory disease16%
    15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 16%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease13%
    12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  3. 03Stroke11%
    10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  4. 04Dementia & Alzheimer's9.5%
    8.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.5%
  5. 05Heart attack & coronary heart disease9.4%
    8.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.5%
  6. 06Other causes4.7%
    4.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
  7. 07Diabetes3.7%
    3.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  8. 08Pneumonia & flu3.3%
    3.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  9. 09COPD & chronic lung disease3.3%
    3.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  10. 10Other accidents2.8%
    2.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
Show the other 35 causes24% together
  1. 11Other digestive disease2.8%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  2. 12Other lung disease2.6%
    2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  3. 13Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.4%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  4. 14Other cancers2.4%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  5. 15COVID-192.3%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  6. 16Kidney disease2.1%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  7. 17Breast cancer1.5%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  8. 18Colorectal cancer1.1%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  9. 19Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.98%
    0.92% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.97%
  10. 20Falls0.86%
    0.81% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.86%
  11. 21Parkinson's disease0.78%
    0.73% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.76%
  12. 22Leukaemia & lymphoma0.61%
    0.57% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  13. 23Lung cancer0.59%
    0.55% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  14. 24Pancreatic cancer0.57%
    0.54% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  15. 25Stomach cancer0.38%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  16. 26Uterine & ovarian cancer0.29%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  17. 27Liver cancer0.24%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  18. 28Bladder cancer0.22%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  19. 29Other mental health conditions0.20%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  20. 30Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.16%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  21. 31Kidney cancer0.16%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  22. 32Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.11%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  23. 33Melanoma (skin cancer)0.08%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  24. 34Brain cancer0.06%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  25. 35Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.04%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  26. 36Oesophageal cancer0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  27. 37Accidental poisoning & overdose0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  28. 38Congenital conditions0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  29. 39Cervical cancer0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  30. 40Road accidents0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  31. 41Suicide0.01%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  32. 42Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  33. 43Drowning<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  34. 44Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 45Alcohol use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Telefono Amico on 02 2327 2327 (normal call rate) — confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 92-year-old woman in Italy, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Italy (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 92-year-old woman in Italy

Based on the Italian LEA screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 90–94 in Italy?
High blood pressure & other circulatory disease: 16% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 92-year-old woman in Italy, followed by heart failure & other heart disease and stroke.
What is the chance that a 92-year-old woman in Italy dies in the next year?
16% (about 2 in 10). Over the next 10 years it is 94% (about 9 in 10).
How long can a 92-year-old woman in Italy expect to live?
On average, to about 96 — around 4 more years, based on Italy's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 92-year-old woman in Italy?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Italian LEA screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Italy (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.