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What are men aged 60–64 in Italy most likely to die from?

For a 62-year-old man in Italy, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are lung cancer, heart attack & coronary heart disease and other cancers — together 28% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.74% (1 in 135); over 10 years it is 12%.

Next 12 months
0.74%
1 in 135
Next 10 years
12%
1 in 8
Life expectancy
84
about 22 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Lung cancer12%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease9.4%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.8%
  3. 03Other cancers6.4%
    0.76% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
  4. 04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease5.0%
    0.58% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.3%
  5. 05Stroke4.7%
    0.55% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.3%
  6. 06Colorectal cancer4.5%
    0.53% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  7. 07Heart failure & other heart disease4.0%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.8%
  8. 08Pancreatic cancer3.9%
    0.46% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  9. 09Diabetes3.6%
    0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  10. 10Leukaemia & lymphoma3.4%
    0.40% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
Show the other 35 causes43% together
  1. 11Liver cancer3.1%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  2. 12Other digestive disease3.0%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  3. 13Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.7%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  4. 14Other causes2.7%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  5. 15COPD & chronic lung disease2.5%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  6. 16Prostate cancer2.3%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  7. 17Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.3%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  8. 18Stomach cancer2.3%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  9. 19Other lung disease2.0%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  10. 20Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.9%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  11. 21Mouth, throat & larynx cancer1.9%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.80%
  12. 22COVID-191.8%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  13. 23Brain cancer1.6%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  14. 24Bladder cancer1.5%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  15. 25Pneumonia & flu1.2%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  16. 26Kidney cancer1.1%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  17. 27Dementia & Alzheimer's1.1%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  18. 28Suicide1.0%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  19. 29Other accidents0.97%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  20. 30Parkinson's disease0.92%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  21. 31Oesophageal cancer0.92%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  22. 32Kidney disease0.84%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  23. 33Road accidents0.74%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  24. 34Melanoma (skin cancer)0.70%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  25. 35Falls0.63%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.91%
  26. 36Other mental health conditions0.51%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  27. 37Congenital conditions0.29%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  28. 38Alcohol use disorder0.15%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  29. 39Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.11%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  30. 40Accidental poisoning & overdose0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  31. 41Drowning0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  32. 42Breast cancer0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  33. 43Homicide0.04%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  34. 44Drug use disorder0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 45Complications around birth<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Telefono Amico on 02 2327 2327 (normal call rate) — confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 62-year-old man in Italy, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Italy (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 62-year-old man in Italy

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Italian LEA screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 60–64 in Italy?
Lung cancer: 12% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 62-year-old man in Italy, followed by heart attack & coronary heart disease and other cancers.
What is the chance that a 62-year-old man in Italy dies in the next year?
0.74% (1 in 135). Over the next 10 years it is 12% (1 in 8).
How long can a 62-year-old man in Italy expect to live?
On average, to about 84 — around 22 more years, based on Italy's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 62-year-old man in Italy?
Blood pressure check; Bowel cancer screening (stool test); Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Italian LEA screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Italy (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.