Odainn

What are men aged 60–64 in Portugal most likely to die from?

For a 62-year-old man in Portugal, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are lung cancer, heart attack & coronary heart disease and stroke — together 26% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 1.1% (1 in 90); over 10 years it is 15%.

Next 12 months
1.1%
1 in 90
Next 10 years
15%
1 in 7
Life expectancy
83
about 21 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Lung cancer12%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease8.9%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
  3. 03Stroke5.8%
    0.84% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.2%
  4. 04Other cancers5.3%
    0.77% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  5. 05Colorectal cancer5.1%
    0.74% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  6. 06Other digestive disease4.2%
    0.62% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  7. 07Heart failure & other heart disease3.4%
    0.50% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.8%
  8. 08Mouth, throat & larynx cancer3.4%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  9. 09Stomach cancer3.3%
    0.48% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  10. 10Liver cancer3.2%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
Show the other 34 causes46% together
  1. 11High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.1%
    0.44% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  2. 12Pancreatic cancer2.8%
    0.40% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  3. 13Leukaemia & lymphoma2.7%
    0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  4. 14COPD & chronic lung disease2.7%
    0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  5. 15Pneumonia & flu2.6%
    0.38% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.0%
  6. 16Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)2.6%
    0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.72%
  7. 17Other causes2.5%
    0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  8. 18Other lung disease2.4%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
  9. 19Prostate cancer2.4%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  10. 20Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.0%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  11. 21Diabetes2.0%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  12. 22Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.8%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  13. 23Oesophageal cancer1.7%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  14. 24Other accidents1.6%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  15. 25COVID-191.6%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  16. 26Suicide1.5%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.72%
  17. 27Dementia & Alzheimer's1.4%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.3%
  18. 28Brain cancer1.4%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  19. 29Kidney disease1.1%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  20. 30Road accidents0.99%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  21. 31Bladder cancer0.98%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  22. 32Falls0.80%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.98%
  23. 33Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.73%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  24. 34Kidney cancer0.66%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  25. 35Parkinson's disease0.47%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  26. 36Melanoma (skin cancer)0.34%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  27. 37Other mental health conditions0.31%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  28. 38Alcohol use disorder0.24%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  29. 39Accidental poisoning & overdose0.20%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  30. 40Congenital conditions0.18%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  31. 41Drowning0.17%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  32. 42Homicide0.08%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  33. 43Breast cancer0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  34. 44Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 1411, the national suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 62-year-old man in Portugal, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Portugal (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 62-year-old man in Portugal

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Portuguese DGS screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 60–64 in Portugal?
Lung cancer: 12% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 62-year-old man in Portugal, followed by heart attack & coronary heart disease and stroke.
What is the chance that a 62-year-old man in Portugal dies in the next year?
1.1% (1 in 90). Over the next 10 years it is 15% (1 in 7).
How long can a 62-year-old man in Portugal expect to live?
On average, to about 83 — around 21 more years, based on Portugal's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 62-year-old man in Portugal?
Blood pressure check; Bowel cancer screening (stool test); Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Portuguese DGS screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Portugal (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.