Odainn

What are men aged 60–64 in the United Kingdom most likely to die from?

For a 62-year-old man in the United Kingdom, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, lung cancer and COPD & chronic lung disease — together 32% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.92% (1 in 109); over 10 years it is 14%.

Next 12 months
0.92%
1 in 109
Next 10 years
14%
1 in 7
Life expectancy
83
about 21 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease17%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  2. 02Lung cancer8.1%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
  3. 03COPD & chronic lung disease6.4%
    0.87% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.6%
  4. 04Other cancers5.0%
    0.68% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  5. 05High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.1%
    0.56% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  6. 06Stroke4.0%
    0.55% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.2%
  7. 07Colorectal cancer4.0%
    0.54% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  8. 08Other digestive disease3.7%
    0.50% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  9. 09Heart failure & other heart disease3.2%
    0.44% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.8%
  10. 10Prostate cancer3.1%
    0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
Show the other 35 causes41% together
  1. 11Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)3.1%
    0.42% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.83%
  2. 12Leukaemia & lymphoma2.9%
    0.40% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  3. 13Oesophageal cancer2.8%
    0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  4. 14Pancreatic cancer2.6%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  5. 15Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.5%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  6. 16Pneumonia & flu2.3%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  7. 17Other lung disease2.2%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  8. 18Other causes2.1%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  9. 19Liver cancer2.0%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  10. 20Mouth, throat & larynx cancer1.9%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  11. 21Dementia & Alzheimer's1.9%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  12. 22Diabetes1.6%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  13. 23Brain cancer1.4%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  14. 24Kidney cancer1.2%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.74%
  15. 25COVID-191.1%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  16. 26Falls1.1%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  17. 27Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.1%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  18. 28Bladder cancer1.1%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  19. 29Suicide1.0%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  20. 30Stomach cancer0.94%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.63%
  21. 31Parkinson's disease0.87%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  22. 32Melanoma (skin cancer)0.61%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  23. 33Other accidents0.54%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  24. 34Accidental poisoning & overdose0.52%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  25. 35Alcohol use disorder0.50%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  26. 36Kidney disease0.40%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  27. 37Congenital conditions0.32%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  28. 38Road accidents0.28%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  29. 39Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.22%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  30. 40Drowning0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  31. 41Other mental health conditions0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  32. 42Breast cancer0.04%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  33. 43Homicide0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  34. 44Drug use disorder0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 45Complications around birth<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Samaritans on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 62-year-old man in the United Kingdom, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for the United Kingdom (2023–2024), ONS, NRS and NISRA. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 62-year-old man in the United Kingdom

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on NHS screening programmes, the NHS Health Check and the NHS vaccination schedule. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 60–64 in the United Kingdom?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 17% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 62-year-old man in the United Kingdom, followed by lung cancer and COPD & chronic lung disease.
What is the chance that a 62-year-old man in the United Kingdom dies in the next year?
0.92% (1 in 109). Over the next 10 years it is 14% (1 in 7).
How long can a 62-year-old man in the United Kingdom expect to live?
On average, to about 83 — around 21 more years, based on the United Kingdom's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 62-year-old man in the United Kingdom?
Blood pressure check; Bowel cancer screening (stool test); Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on NHS screening programmes, the NHS Health Check and the NHS vaccination schedule.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official ONS, NRS and NISRA mortality statistics for the United Kingdom (2023–2024) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.