Odainn

What are men aged 20–24 in Portugal most likely to die from?

For a 22-year-old man in Portugal, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are road accidents, suicide and other neurological disease — together 48% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.05% (1 in 1,985); over 10 years it is 0.60%.

Next 12 months
0.05%
1 in 1,985
Next 10 years
0.60%
1 in 167
Life expectancy
80
about 58 more years on average
The surpriseAt 22, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's road accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Road accidents25%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
  2. 02Suicide16%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  3. 03Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)7.4%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  4. 04Other cancers4.6%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  5. 05Leukaemia & lymphoma4.3%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  6. 06Heart attack & coronary heart disease4.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  7. 07Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)3.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  8. 08Other accidents3.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  9. 09Homicide2.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  10. 10Brain cancer2.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
Show the other 23 causes26% together
  1. 11High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  2. 12Congenital conditions2.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  3. 13Heart failure & other heart disease2.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.2%
  4. 14Accidental poisoning & overdose1.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  5. 15Other lung disease1.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
  6. 16Falls1.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  7. 17Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  8. 18Drowning1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  9. 19Other digestive disease1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  10. 20COVID-191.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  11. 21Other causes1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  12. 22Pneumonia & flu1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.6%
  13. 23Stroke0.95%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.7%
  14. 24Liver cancer0.83%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  15. 25COPD & chronic lung disease0.78%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  16. 26Colorectal cancer0.77%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  17. 27Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.72%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  18. 28Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.65%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  19. 29Lung cancer0.47%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.2%
  20. 30Pancreatic cancer0.42%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  21. 31Complications around birth0.30%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  22. 32Drug use disorder0.24%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  23. 33Stomach cancer0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 1411, the national suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 22-year-old man in Portugal, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Portugal (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 22-year-old man in Portugal

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Portuguese DGS screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 20–24 in Portugal?
Road accidents: 25% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 22-year-old man in Portugal, followed by suicide and other neurological disease.
What is the chance that a 22-year-old man in Portugal dies in the next year?
0.05% (1 in 1,985). Over the next 10 years it is 0.60% (1 in 167).
How long can a 22-year-old man in Portugal expect to live?
On average, to about 80 — around 58 more years, based on Portugal's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 22-year-old man in Portugal?
Blood pressure check. Based on the Portuguese DGS screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Portugal (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.