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What are men aged 20–24 in Estonia most likely to die from?

For a 22-year-old man in Estonia, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, accidental poisoning & overdose and road accidents — together 53% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.07% (1 in 1,528); over 10 years it is 0.92%.

Next 12 months
0.07%
1 in 1,528
Next 10 years
0.92%
1 in 109
Life expectancy
75
about 53 more years on average
The surpriseAt 22, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide26%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  2. 02Accidental poisoning & overdose18%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  3. 03Road accidents9.5%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  4. 04Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)5.8%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  5. 05Drowning5.3%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  6. 06Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.3%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  7. 07Other accidents3.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  8. 08Heart failure & other heart disease3.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.6%
  9. 09Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)2.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  10. 10Falls2.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
Show the other 21 causes21% together
  1. 11Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  2. 12Other cancers2.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  3. 13Homicide2.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  4. 14Stroke2.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.0%
  5. 15Pneumonia & flu1.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  6. 16Brain cancer1.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  7. 17Other digestive disease1.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  8. 18Leukaemia & lymphoma1.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  9. 19Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
  10. 20Congenital conditions1.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  11. 21Diabetes0.96%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  12. 22Melanoma (skin cancer)0.75%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  13. 23Other lung disease0.75%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  14. 24High blood pressure & other circulatory disease0.74%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 16%
  15. 25Other causes0.60%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  16. 26Stomach cancer0.30%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  17. 27Colorectal cancer0.15%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  18. 28Oesophageal cancer0.15%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  19. 29Alcohol use disorder0.15%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  20. 30Other mental health conditions0.15%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  21. 31Kidney disease0.15%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the emotional support line on 116 123 (10:00–24:00) — free and confidential; at other times, call 112 (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 22-year-old man in Estonia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Estonia (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 22-year-old man in Estonia

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Estonian Health Insurance Fund (Tervisekassa) screening and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 20–24 in Estonia?
Suicide: 26% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 22-year-old man in Estonia, followed by accidental poisoning & overdose and road accidents.
What is the chance that a 22-year-old man in Estonia dies in the next year?
0.07% (1 in 1,528). Over the next 10 years it is 0.92% (1 in 109).
How long can a 22-year-old man in Estonia expect to live?
On average, to about 75 — around 53 more years, based on Estonia's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 22-year-old man in Estonia?
Blood pressure check. Based on Estonian Health Insurance Fund (Tervisekassa) screening and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Estonia (2018, 2019 and 2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.