Odainn

What are men aged 55–59 in Estonia most likely to die from?

For a 57-year-old man in Estonia, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, high blood pressure & other circulatory disease and lung cancer — together 34% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 1.2% (1 in 83); over 10 years it is 17%.

Next 12 months
1.2%
1 in 83
Next 10 years
17%
about 2 in 10
Life expectancy
78
about 21 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease15%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 18%
  2. 02High blood pressure & other circulatory disease11%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 18%
  3. 03Lung cancer8.8%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.3%
  4. 04Heart failure & other heart disease6.6%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  5. 05Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)6.1%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  6. 06Stroke4.9%
    0.83% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.4%
  7. 07Other digestive disease2.9%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  8. 08Mouth, throat & larynx cancer2.8%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  9. 09Other cancers2.7%
    0.46% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  10. 10Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.6%
    0.45% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
Show the other 32 causes37% together
  1. 11Colorectal cancer2.6%
    0.44% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  2. 12Other accidents2.5%
    0.42% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.92%
  3. 13Pancreatic cancer2.4%
    0.41% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  4. 14Stomach cancer2.4%
    0.40% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  5. 15Accidental poisoning & overdose2.3%
    0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  6. 16Prostate cancer2.2%
    0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  7. 17Suicide2.1%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  8. 18Pneumonia & flu1.8%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  9. 19COPD & chronic lung disease1.7%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  10. 20Leukaemia & lymphoma1.6%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  11. 21Liver cancer1.6%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  12. 22Diabetes1.5%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  13. 23Alcohol use disorder1.5%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  14. 24Oesophageal cancer1.3%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.76%
  15. 25Falls1.3%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.84%
  16. 26Other causes1.0%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  17. 27Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.97%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.75%
  18. 28Kidney cancer0.96%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  19. 29Brain cancer0.93%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  20. 30Bladder cancer0.70%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  21. 31Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.63%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  22. 32Road accidents0.62%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  23. 33Other lung disease0.58%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  24. 34Kidney disease0.46%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.71%
  25. 35Drowning0.41%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  26. 36Dementia & Alzheimer's0.26%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  27. 37Homicide0.26%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  28. 38COVID-190.25%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.89%
  29. 39Melanoma (skin cancer)0.23%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  30. 40Parkinson's disease0.17%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.73%
  31. 41Congenital conditions0.13%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  32. 42Other mental health conditions0.08%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the emotional support line on 116 123 (10:00–24:00) — free and confidential; at other times, call 112 (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 57-year-old man in Estonia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Estonia (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 57-year-old man in Estonia

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Estonian Health Insurance Fund (Tervisekassa) screening and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 55–59 in Estonia?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 15% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 57-year-old man in Estonia, followed by high blood pressure & other circulatory disease and lung cancer.
What is the chance that a 57-year-old man in Estonia dies in the next year?
1.2% (1 in 83). Over the next 10 years it is 17% (about 2 in 10).
How long can a 57-year-old man in Estonia expect to live?
On average, to about 78 — around 21 more years, based on Estonia's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 57-year-old man in Estonia?
Blood pressure check; Bowel cancer screening (stool test); Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Estonian Health Insurance Fund (Tervisekassa) screening and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Estonia (2018, 2019 and 2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.