Odainn

What are men aged 90–94 in Estonia most likely to die from?

For a 92-year-old man in Estonia, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are high blood pressure & other circulatory disease, heart attack & coronary heart disease and heart failure & other heart disease — together 58% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 21% (about 2 in 10); over 10 years it is 97%.

Next 12 months
21%
about 2 in 10
Next 10 years
97%
more than 9 in 10
Life expectancy
95
about 3 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01High blood pressure & other circulatory disease25%
    24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 25%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease24%
    23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 24%
  3. 03Heart failure & other heart disease9.1%
    8.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.1%
  4. 04Stroke7.1%
    6.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  5. 05Prostate cancer4.7%
    4.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
  6. 06Pneumonia & flu4.4%
    4.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  7. 07Other cancers2.4%
    2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  8. 08Colorectal cancer2.4%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  9. 09COPD & chronic lung disease2.0%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  10. 10Bladder cancer1.9%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
Show the other 27 causes17% together
  1. 11Other causes1.8%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  2. 12Leukaemia & lymphoma1.6%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  3. 13COVID-191.5%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  4. 14Kidney disease1.3%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  5. 15Other digestive disease1.3%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  6. 16Diabetes1.1%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  7. 17Stomach cancer1.0%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  8. 18Falls0.99%
    0.96% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  9. 19Dementia & Alzheimer's0.95%
    0.92% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  10. 20Kidney cancer0.91%
    0.88% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  11. 21Lung cancer0.80%
    0.78% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  12. 22Parkinson's disease0.62%
    0.60% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  13. 23Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.61%
    0.59% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  14. 24Pancreatic cancer0.50%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  15. 25Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.39%
    0.38% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  16. 26Suicide0.35%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  17. 27Other accidents0.28%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  18. 28Brain cancer0.19%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  19. 29Other lung disease0.15%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  20. 30Drowning0.15%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  21. 31Liver cancer0.12%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  22. 32Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.12%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  23. 33Road accidents0.12%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  24. 34Melanoma (skin cancer)0.08%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  25. 35Oesophageal cancer0.04%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  26. 36Alcohol use disorder0.04%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  27. 37Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.04%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the emotional support line on 116 123 (10:00–24:00) — free and confidential; at other times, call 112 (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 92-year-old man in Estonia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Estonia (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 92-year-old man in Estonia

If you smoke or used to:

Based on Estonian Health Insurance Fund (Tervisekassa) screening and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 90–94 in Estonia?
High blood pressure & other circulatory disease: 25% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 92-year-old man in Estonia, followed by heart attack & coronary heart disease and heart failure & other heart disease.
What is the chance that a 92-year-old man in Estonia dies in the next year?
21% (about 2 in 10). Over the next 10 years it is 97% (more than 9 in 10).
How long can a 92-year-old man in Estonia expect to live?
On average, to about 95 — around 3 more years, based on Estonia's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 92-year-old man in Estonia?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Estonian Health Insurance Fund (Tervisekassa) screening and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Estonia (2018, 2019 and 2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.