Odainn

What are men aged 80–84 in Estonia most likely to die from?

For an 82-year-old man in Estonia, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are high blood pressure & other circulatory disease, heart attack & coronary heart disease and heart failure & other heart disease — together 49% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 8.2% (1 in 12); over 10 years it is 77%.

Next 12 months
8.2%
1 in 12
Next 10 years
77%
about 8 in 10
Life expectancy
89
about 7 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01High blood pressure & other circulatory disease22%
    17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 22%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease20%
    15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 21%
  3. 03Heart failure & other heart disease7.2%
    5.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.6%
  4. 04Stroke7.1%
    5.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  5. 05Prostate cancer5.7%
    4.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.4%
  6. 06Lung cancer3.6%
    2.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  7. 07Pneumonia & flu3.5%
    2.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  8. 08Colorectal cancer3.4%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  9. 09Other cancers2.9%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  10. 10COPD & chronic lung disease2.5%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
Show the other 33 causes23% together
  1. 11Leukaemia & lymphoma2.1%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  2. 12Other digestive disease1.7%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  3. 13Other causes1.7%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  4. 14Diabetes1.7%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  5. 15Dementia & Alzheimer's1.6%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  6. 16Bladder cancer1.5%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  7. 17Stomach cancer1.4%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  8. 18COVID-191.3%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  9. 19Pancreatic cancer1.0%
    0.77% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.89%
  10. 20Parkinson's disease0.91%
    0.70% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.84%
  11. 21Kidney cancer0.87%
    0.67% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.88%
  12. 22Kidney disease0.84%
    0.64% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.96%
  13. 23Falls0.74%
    0.57% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.80%
  14. 24Suicide0.73%
    0.56% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  15. 25Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.64%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  16. 26Other lung disease0.61%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  17. 27Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.55%
    0.42% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  18. 28Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.48%
    0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  19. 29Liver cancer0.46%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  20. 30Other accidents0.45%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.41%
  21. 31Melanoma (skin cancer)0.21%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  22. 32Oesophageal cancer0.21%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  23. 33Brain cancer0.20%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  24. 34Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.17%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  25. 35Road accidents0.14%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  26. 36Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.12%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  27. 37Breast cancer0.05%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  28. 38Other mental health conditions0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  29. 39Alcohol use disorder0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  30. 40Congenital conditions0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  31. 41Drowning<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  32. 42Accidental poisoning & overdose<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  33. 43Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the emotional support line on 116 123 (10:00–24:00) — free and confidential; at other times, call 112 (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 82-year-old man in Estonia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Estonia (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 82-year-old man in Estonia

If you smoke or used to:

Based on Estonian Health Insurance Fund (Tervisekassa) screening and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 80–84 in Estonia?
High blood pressure & other circulatory disease: 22% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for an 82-year-old man in Estonia, followed by heart attack & coronary heart disease and heart failure & other heart disease.
What is the chance that an 82-year-old man in Estonia dies in the next year?
8.2% (1 in 12). Over the next 10 years it is 77% (about 8 in 10).
How long can an 82-year-old man in Estonia expect to live?
On average, to about 89 — around 7 more years, based on Estonia's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for an 82-year-old man in Estonia?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Estonian Health Insurance Fund (Tervisekassa) screening and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Estonia (2018, 2019 and 2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.