Odainn

What are men aged 90–94 in Norway most likely to die from?

For a 92-year-old man in Norway, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are dementia & Alzheimer's, heart failure & other heart disease and heart attack & coronary heart disease — together 33% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 20% (about 2 in 10); over 10 years it is 97%.

Next 12 months
20%
about 2 in 10
Next 10 years
97%
more than 9 in 10
Life expectancy
96
about 4 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Dementia & Alzheimer's12%
    12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease12%
    11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  3. 03Heart attack & coronary heart disease9.5%
    9.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.5%
  4. 04Pneumonia & flu7.6%
    7.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.7%
  5. 05Other causes5.6%
    5.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.6%
  6. 06Prostate cancer5.5%
    5.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.5%
  7. 07High blood pressure & other circulatory disease5.5%
    5.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.5%
  8. 08COVID-195.3%
    5.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.4%
  9. 09Stroke4.2%
    4.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  10. 10Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)4.0%
    3.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
Show the other 30 causes29% together
  1. 11COPD & chronic lung disease3.7%
    3.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  2. 12Kidney disease2.8%
    2.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  3. 13Other cancers2.6%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  4. 14Other digestive disease2.5%
    2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  5. 15Falls2.3%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  6. 16Other accidents2.3%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  7. 17Diabetes1.9%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  8. 18Other lung disease1.8%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  9. 19Colorectal cancer1.8%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  10. 20Lung cancer1.2%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  11. 21Leukaemia & lymphoma1.1%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  12. 22Bladder cancer0.90%
    0.87% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.89%
  13. 23Parkinson's disease0.64%
    0.62% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.63%
  14. 24Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.61%
    0.59% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  15. 25Other mental health conditions0.48%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  16. 26Stomach cancer0.39%
    0.38% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  17. 27Melanoma (skin cancer)0.36%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  18. 28Pancreatic cancer0.35%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  19. 29Kidney cancer0.28%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  20. 30Liver cancer0.23%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  21. 31Brain cancer0.10%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  22. 32Suicide0.10%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  23. 33Alcohol use disorder0.09%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  24. 34Oesophageal cancer0.08%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  25. 35Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.07%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  26. 36Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.06%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  27. 37Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.05%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  28. 38Breast cancer0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  29. 39Congenital conditions0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  30. 40Road accidents0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Mental Helse on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 92-year-old man in Norway, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Norway (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 92-year-old man in Norway

If you smoke or used to:

Based on Norwegian national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 90–94 in Norway?
Dementia & Alzheimer's: 12% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 92-year-old man in Norway, followed by heart failure & other heart disease and heart attack & coronary heart disease.
What is the chance that a 92-year-old man in Norway dies in the next year?
20% (about 2 in 10). Over the next 10 years it is 97% (more than 9 in 10).
How long can a 92-year-old man in Norway expect to live?
On average, to about 96 — around 4 more years, based on Norway's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 92-year-old man in Norway?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Norwegian national screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Norway (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.