Odainn

What are men aged 40–44 in Norway most likely to die from?

For a 42-year-old man in Norway, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, accidental poisoning & overdose and heart attack & coronary heart disease — together 36% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.12% (1 in 809); over 10 years it is 1.7%.

Next 12 months
0.12%
1 in 809
Next 10 years
1.7%
1 in 60
Life expectancy
83
about 41 more years on average
The surpriseAt 42, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide14%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.99%
  2. 02Accidental poisoning & overdose12%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  3. 03Heart attack & coronary heart disease10%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.4%
  4. 04Colorectal cancer4.8%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  5. 05Brain cancer3.8%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.72%
  6. 06Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.0%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  7. 07Other causes2.9%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  8. 08Heart failure & other heart disease2.8%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.5%
  9. 09Stroke2.7%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  10. 10Lung cancer2.6%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
Show the other 31 causes41% together
  1. 11High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.5%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  2. 12Road accidents2.5%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  3. 13Other cancers2.3%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  4. 14Other digestive disease2.2%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  5. 15Diabetes2.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  6. 16Drowning2.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  7. 17Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)2.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  8. 18Pancreatic cancer2.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  9. 19Leukaemia & lymphoma1.7%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  10. 20Falls1.6%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  11. 21Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  12. 22Other lung disease1.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  13. 23Other accidents1.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  14. 24Pneumonia & flu1.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  15. 25Melanoma (skin cancer)1.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.76%
  16. 26Liver cancer1.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.84%
  17. 27COPD & chronic lung disease1.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.7%
  18. 28Congenital conditions1.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  19. 29Kidney cancer1.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  20. 30Alcohol use disorder1.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  21. 31Drug use disorder1.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  22. 32Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.89%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  23. 33Oesophageal cancer0.80%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.63%
  24. 34Prostate cancer0.74%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
  25. 35Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.72%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  26. 36COVID-190.63%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  27. 37Stomach cancer0.55%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.81%
  28. 38Kidney disease0.52%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  29. 39Bladder cancer0.50%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  30. 40Other mental health conditions0.24%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  31. 41Parkinson's disease0.18%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Mental Helse on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 42-year-old man in Norway, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Norway (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 42-year-old man in Norway

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Norwegian national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 40–44 in Norway?
Suicide: 14% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 42-year-old man in Norway, followed by accidental poisoning & overdose and heart attack & coronary heart disease.
What is the chance that a 42-year-old man in Norway dies in the next year?
0.12% (1 in 809). Over the next 10 years it is 1.7% (1 in 60).
How long can a 42-year-old man in Norway expect to live?
On average, to about 83 — around 41 more years, based on Norway's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 42-year-old man in Norway?
Blood pressure check; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Norwegian national screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Norway (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.