Odainn

What are men aged 40–44 in Denmark most likely to die from?

For a 42-year-old man in Denmark, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, suicide and liver disease — together 23% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.12% (1 in 816); over 10 years it is 1.9%.

Next 12 months
0.12%
1 in 816
Next 10 years
1.9%
1 in 52
Life expectancy
81
about 39 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease9.0%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.5%
  2. 02Suicide7.8%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.84%
  3. 03Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)6.3%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  4. 04Heart failure & other heart disease4.9%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
  5. 05Other cancers4.6%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  6. 06Accidental poisoning & overdose4.3%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  7. 07High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.3%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.4%
  8. 08Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)4.2%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  9. 09Alcohol use disorder4.0%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  10. 10Other digestive disease4.0%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
Show the other 33 causes47% together
  1. 11Lung cancer3.8%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.4%
  2. 12Brain cancer3.8%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.74%
  3. 13Colorectal cancer3.4%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  4. 14Stroke3.3%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.5%
  5. 15Diabetes2.9%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  6. 16Other accidents2.2%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.63%
  7. 17Pancreatic cancer2.1%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  8. 18COPD & chronic lung disease2.0%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.6%
  9. 19Other causes1.9%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  10. 20Road accidents1.9%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  11. 21Liver cancer1.9%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  12. 22Falls1.9%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  13. 23Leukaemia & lymphoma1.9%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  14. 24Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.9%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  15. 25Mouth, throat & larynx cancer1.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  16. 26Stomach cancer1.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.87%
  17. 27Pneumonia & flu1.4%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  18. 28Other lung disease0.82%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  19. 29Oesophageal cancer0.81%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  20. 30Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.80%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  21. 31Homicide0.74%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  22. 32Kidney cancer0.68%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  23. 33Congenital conditions0.68%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  24. 34Other mental health conditions0.59%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  25. 35Bladder cancer0.51%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  26. 36Melanoma (skin cancer)0.48%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  27. 37Drowning0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  28. 38COVID-190.32%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  29. 39Kidney disease0.30%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  30. 40Drug use disorder0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  31. 41Prostate cancer0.17%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.4%
  32. 42Breast cancer0.15%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  33. 43Dementia & Alzheimer's0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.5%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Livslinien on 70 201 201 (09:00–05:00, normal call rate) — confidential; at other times, call 112 (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 42-year-old man in Denmark, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Denmark (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 42-year-old man in Denmark

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Danish national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 40–44 in Denmark?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 9.0% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 42-year-old man in Denmark, followed by suicide and liver disease.
What is the chance that a 42-year-old man in Denmark dies in the next year?
0.12% (1 in 816). Over the next 10 years it is 1.9% (1 in 52).
How long can a 42-year-old man in Denmark expect to live?
On average, to about 81 — around 39 more years, based on Denmark's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 42-year-old man in Denmark?
Blood pressure check; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Danish national screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Denmark (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.