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What are men aged 40–44 in Türkiye most likely to die from?

For a 42-year-old man in Türkiye, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are other accidents, heart attack & coronary heart disease and heart failure & other heart disease — together 44% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.19% (1 in 515); over 10 years it is 3.0%.

Next 12 months
0.19%
1 in 515
Next 10 years
3.0%
1 in 34
Life expectancy
78
about 36 more years on average
The surpriseAt 42, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's other accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Other accidents21%
    0.63% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease18%
    0.52% chance over 10 years · lifetime 18%
  3. 03Heart failure & other heart disease5.4%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.2%
  4. 04Lung cancer5.3%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.2%
  5. 05Stroke4.6%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.0%
  6. 06Pneumonia & flu4.2%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  7. 07Road accidents3.8%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  8. 08Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)3.3%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  9. 09High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.0%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
  10. 10Suicide2.8%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
Show the other 33 causes29% together
  1. 11Kidney disease2.1%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  2. 12Other cancers2.0%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  3. 13Stomach cancer2.0%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  4. 14Diabetes2.0%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  5. 15Leukaemia & lymphoma1.9%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  6. 16Colorectal cancer1.9%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  7. 17Other digestive disease1.7%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  8. 18Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.6%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  9. 19Brain cancer1.5%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  10. 20Pancreatic cancer1.4%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  11. 21COPD & chronic lung disease1.4%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.8%
  12. 22Other causes1.4%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  13. 23Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.2%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  14. 24Other lung disease1.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  15. 25Accidental poisoning & overdose0.93%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  16. 26Homicide0.74%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  17. 27Liver cancer0.69%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  18. 28Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.60%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  19. 29Falls0.55%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.86%
  20. 30Kidney cancer0.40%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  21. 31Bladder cancer0.32%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.87%
  22. 32Oesophageal cancer0.27%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  23. 33Drowning0.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  24. 34Prostate cancer0.19%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  25. 35Melanoma (skin cancer)0.16%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  26. 36COVID-190.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  27. 37Congenital conditions0.09%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  28. 38Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  29. 39Parkinson's disease0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  30. 40Other mental health conditions0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  31. 41Breast cancer0.04%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  32. 42Dementia & Alzheimer's0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  33. 43Alcohol use disorder0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

About these numbers. Türkiye's figures are for 2023, the year of the February earthquakes. About 50,000 earthquake deaths are counted under “other accidents”, so that cause is far higher than in an ordinary year — above all for young adults.

For people like a 42-year-old man in Türkiye, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Türkiye (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 42-year-old man in Türkiye

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Türkiye's national cancer screening programmes (Ministry of Health) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 40–44 in Türkiye?
Other accidents: 21% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 42-year-old man in Türkiye, followed by heart attack & coronary heart disease and heart failure & other heart disease.
What is the chance that a 42-year-old man in Türkiye dies in the next year?
0.19% (1 in 515). Over the next 10 years it is 3.0% (1 in 34).
How long can a 42-year-old man in Türkiye expect to live?
On average, to about 78 — around 36 more years, based on Türkiye's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 42-year-old man in Türkiye?
Blood pressure check; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Türkiye's national cancer screening programmes (Ministry of Health) and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Türkiye (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.