Odainn

What are men aged 90–94 in Iceland most likely to die from?

For a 92-year-old man in Iceland, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, heart failure & other heart disease and dementia & Alzheimer's — together 45% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 20% (about 2 in 10); over 10 years it is 97%.

Next 12 months
20%
about 2 in 10
Next 10 years
97%
more than 9 in 10
Life expectancy
96
about 4 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease17%
    16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease14%
    14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  3. 03Dementia & Alzheimer's13%
    13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  4. 04Pneumonia & flu7.9%
    7.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.9%
  5. 05Stroke7.0%
    6.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  6. 06High blood pressure & other circulatory disease5.1%
    4.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
  7. 07COPD & chronic lung disease3.8%
    3.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  8. 08Other digestive disease3.7%
    3.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  9. 09Prostate cancer3.5%
    3.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  10. 10Colorectal cancer2.6%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
Show the other 23 causes22% together
  1. 11Kidney disease2.5%
    2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  2. 12Other causes2.3%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  3. 13Other accidents2.2%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  4. 14Other cancers1.7%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  5. 15Lung cancer1.6%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  6. 16Diabetes1.4%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  7. 17Falls1.4%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  8. 18Mouth, throat & larynx cancer1.4%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  9. 19Leukaemia & lymphoma1.2%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  10. 20Liver cancer1.1%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  11. 21Other lung disease0.80%
    0.77% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.79%
  12. 22Bladder cancer0.69%
    0.67% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  13. 23Parkinson's disease0.69%
    0.67% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  14. 24COVID-190.69%
    0.67% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  15. 25Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.68%
    0.66% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  16. 26Pancreatic cancer0.46%
    0.44% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  17. 27Stomach cancer0.34%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  18. 28Oesophageal cancer0.11%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  19. 29Brain cancer0.11%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  20. 30Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.11%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  21. 31Alcohol use disorder0.11%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  22. 32Accidental poisoning & overdose0.11%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  23. 33Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.11%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the Red Cross helpline on 1717 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 92-year-old man in Iceland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Iceland (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Smoking, exercise, weight, alcohol and diet change these numbers. Get your personal numbers and the changes that give you the most years back — free.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 92-year-old man in Iceland

If you smoke or used to:

Based on Iceland's national screening invitations and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 90–94 in Iceland?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 17% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 92-year-old man in Iceland, followed by heart failure & other heart disease and dementia & Alzheimer's.
What is the chance that a 92-year-old man in Iceland dies in the next year?
20% (about 2 in 10). Over the next 10 years it is 97% (more than 9 in 10).
How long can a 92-year-old man in Iceland expect to live?
On average, to about 96 — around 4 more years, based on Iceland's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 92-year-old man in Iceland?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Iceland's national screening invitations and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Iceland (2018, 2019 and 2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.