Odainn

What are men aged 15–19 in Iceland most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old boy in Iceland, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are accidental poisoning & overdose, suicide and brain cancer — together 75% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.04% (1 in 2,311); over 10 years it is 0.55%.

Next 12 months
0.04%
1 in 2,311
Next 10 years
0.55%
1 in 183
Life expectancy
81
about 64 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's accidental poisoning & overdose.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Accidental poisoning & overdose42%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  2. 02Suicide27%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  3. 03Brain cancer6.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.99%
  4. 04Road accidents6.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.41%
  5. 05Other cancers5.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  6. 06Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)5.1%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  7. 07Heart failure & other heart disease2.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.3%
  8. 08Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  9. 09Other lung disease0.95%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  10. 10Drug use disorder0.95%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
Show the other 2 causes1.9% together
  1. 11Homicide0.95%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  2. 12Other accidents0.95%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the Red Cross helpline on 1717 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Iceland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Iceland (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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These are averages. You aren't average.

Smoking, exercise, weight, alcohol and diet change these numbers. Get your personal numbers and the changes that give you the most years back — free.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 15–19 in Iceland?
Accidental poisoning & overdose: 42% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old boy in Iceland, followed by suicide and brain cancer.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old boy in Iceland dies in the next year?
0.04% (1 in 2,311). Over the next 10 years it is 0.55% (1 in 183).
How long can a 17-year-old boy in Iceland expect to live?
On average, to about 81 — around 64 more years, based on Iceland's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Iceland (2018, 2019 and 2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.