Odainn

What are men aged 15–19 in Luxembourg most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old boy in Luxembourg, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are road accidents, suicide and congenital conditions — together 76% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.02% (1 in 5,795); over 10 years it is 0.35%.

Next 12 months
0.02%
1 in 5,795
Next 10 years
0.35%
1 in 284
Life expectancy
81
about 64 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's road accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Road accidents38%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  2. 02Suicide25%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  3. 03Congenital conditions13%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  4. 04Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)12%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  5. 05Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  6. 06Heart failure & other heart disease1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  7. 07Other cancers1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  8. 08Homicide1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  9. 09Lung cancer0.89%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
  10. 10Brain cancer0.89%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
Show the other 3 causes2.7% together
  1. 11Diabetes0.89%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  2. 12Other digestive disease0.89%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  3. 13Falls0.89%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call SOS Détresse on 45 45 45 (11:00–23:00; Fri–Sat to 03:00) — free and confidential; at other times, call 112 (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Luxembourg, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Luxembourg (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 15–19 in Luxembourg?
Road accidents: 38% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old boy in Luxembourg, followed by suicide and congenital conditions.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old boy in Luxembourg dies in the next year?
0.02% (1 in 5,795). Over the next 10 years it is 0.35% (1 in 284).
How long can a 17-year-old boy in Luxembourg expect to live?
On average, to about 81 — around 64 more years, based on Luxembourg's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Luxembourg (2018, 2019 and 2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.