Odainn

What are men aged 15–19 in Hungary most likely to die from?

For a 17-year-old boy in Hungary, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, road accidents and other neurological disease — together 44% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.03% (1 in 3,181); over 10 years it is 0.51%.

Next 12 months
0.03%
1 in 3,181
Next 10 years
0.51%
1 in 195
Life expectancy
74
about 57 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide22%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  2. 02Road accidents17%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.71%
  3. 03Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)5.8%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.85%
  4. 04Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)5.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  5. 05Other cancers4.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  6. 06Other accidents4.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.83%
  7. 07Leukaemia & lymphoma4.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  8. 08Heart failure & other heart disease3.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  9. 09Other mental health conditions3.7%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  10. 10Brain cancer3.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
Show the other 25 causes26% together
  1. 11Other digestive disease2.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  2. 12Accidental poisoning & overdose2.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  3. 13Drowning2.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  4. 14Other causes2.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  5. 15Congenital conditions1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  6. 16Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 23%
  7. 17Other lung disease1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  8. 18COVID-191.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  9. 19Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.61%
  10. 20Homicide0.93%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  11. 21COPD & chronic lung disease0.92%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  12. 22Colorectal cancer0.91%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  13. 23Kidney disease0.91%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  14. 24Stroke0.82%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.3%
  15. 25Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.82%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  16. 26High blood pressure & other circulatory disease0.67%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  17. 27Pneumonia & flu0.67%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  18. 28Liver cancer0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  19. 29Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  20. 30Falls0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  21. 31Lung cancer0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.9%
  22. 32Stomach cancer0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  23. 33Kidney cancer0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  24. 34Diabetes0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  25. 35Dementia & Alzheimer's0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Lelki Elsősegély on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Hungary, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Hungary (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 15–19 in Hungary?
Suicide: 22% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 17-year-old boy in Hungary, followed by road accidents and other neurological disease.
What is the chance that a 17-year-old boy in Hungary dies in the next year?
0.03% (1 in 3,181). Over the next 10 years it is 0.51% (1 in 195).
How long can a 17-year-old boy in Hungary expect to live?
On average, to about 74 — around 57 more years, based on Hungary's current death rates.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Hungary (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.