Odainn

What are men aged 85–89 in Hungary most likely to die from?

For an 87-year-old man in Hungary, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, high blood pressure & other circulatory disease and stroke — together 57% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 15% (about 2 in 10); over 10 years it is 93%.

Next 12 months
15%
about 2 in 10
Next 10 years
93%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
91
about 4 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease32%
    29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 32%
  2. 02High blood pressure & other circulatory disease17%
    15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
  3. 03Stroke8.6%
    7.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.5%
  4. 04Heart failure & other heart disease5.7%
    5.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.7%
  5. 05Dementia & Alzheimer's5.1%
    4.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  6. 06COPD & chronic lung disease3.7%
    3.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  7. 07COVID-192.7%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  8. 08Prostate cancer2.7%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  9. 09Colorectal cancer2.2%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  10. 10Other causes2.1%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
Show the other 31 causes19% together
  1. 11Pneumonia & flu1.9%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  2. 12Other digestive disease1.9%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  3. 13Diabetes1.8%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  4. 14Lung cancer1.8%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  5. 15Falls1.8%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  6. 16Other cancers1.8%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  7. 17Bladder cancer1.0%
    0.92% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  8. 18Other lung disease0.69%
    0.64% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  9. 19Leukaemia & lymphoma0.67%
    0.62% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  10. 20Parkinson's disease0.61%
    0.56% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  11. 21Suicide0.56%
    0.52% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  12. 22Stomach cancer0.54%
    0.50% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  13. 23Pancreatic cancer0.54%
    0.50% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  14. 24Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.49%
    0.45% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  15. 25Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.43%
    0.40% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  16. 26Kidney disease0.38%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  17. 27Other accidents0.36%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  18. 28Kidney cancer0.26%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  19. 29Melanoma (skin cancer)0.25%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  20. 30Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.25%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  21. 31Liver cancer0.15%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  22. 32Road accidents0.13%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  23. 33Brain cancer0.13%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  24. 34Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.13%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  25. 35Alcohol use disorder0.09%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  26. 36Oesophageal cancer0.07%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  27. 37Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.06%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  28. 38Other mental health conditions0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  29. 39Congenital conditions0.03%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  30. 40Breast cancer<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  31. 41Drowning<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Lelki Elsősegély on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 87-year-old man in Hungary, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Hungary (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old man in Hungary

If you smoke or used to:

Based on Hungarian national (NNGYK) screening and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 85–89 in Hungary?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 32% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for an 87-year-old man in Hungary, followed by high blood pressure & other circulatory disease and stroke.
What is the chance that an 87-year-old man in Hungary dies in the next year?
15% (about 2 in 10). Over the next 10 years it is 93% (about 9 in 10).
How long can an 87-year-old man in Hungary expect to live?
On average, to about 91 — around 4 more years, based on Hungary's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for an 87-year-old man in Hungary?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Hungarian national (NNGYK) screening and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Hungary (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.