Odainn

What are men aged 85–89 in Latvia most likely to die from?

For an 87-year-old man in Latvia, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, stroke and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease — together 61% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 15% (1 in 7); over 10 years it is 92%.

Next 12 months
15%
1 in 7
Next 10 years
92%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
92
about 5 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease31%
    29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 31%
  2. 02Stroke21%
    20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 21%
  3. 03High blood pressure & other circulatory disease9.0%
    8.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.1%
  4. 04Prostate cancer4.6%
    4.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  5. 05Heart failure & other heart disease4.2%
    3.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  6. 06Pneumonia & flu2.9%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  7. 07Dementia & Alzheimer's2.6%
    2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  8. 08Other causes2.4%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  9. 09Other cancers2.0%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  10. 10Colorectal cancer1.9%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
Show the other 31 causes18% together
  1. 11Lung cancer1.7%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  2. 12Kidney disease1.7%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  3. 13Other digestive disease1.7%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  4. 14Diabetes1.5%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  5. 15COPD & chronic lung disease1.4%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  6. 16Bladder cancer1.1%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  7. 17COVID-191.0%
    0.96% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  8. 18Stomach cancer0.85%
    0.78% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.78%
  9. 19Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.76%
    0.70% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.72%
  10. 20Leukaemia & lymphoma0.76%
    0.70% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.74%
  11. 21Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.74%
    0.68% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  12. 22Pancreatic cancer0.66%
    0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  13. 23Kidney cancer0.62%
    0.57% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.63%
  14. 24Falls0.57%
    0.52% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  15. 25Other accidents0.41%
    0.38% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  16. 26Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.39%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  17. 27Parkinson's disease0.35%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  18. 28Suicide0.27%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  19. 29Liver cancer0.25%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  20. 30Other lung disease0.25%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  21. 31Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.23%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  22. 32Oesophageal cancer0.16%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  23. 33Brain cancer0.15%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  24. 34Melanoma (skin cancer)0.14%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  25. 35Road accidents0.13%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  26. 36Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.11%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  27. 37Drowning0.10%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  28. 38Accidental poisoning & overdose0.04%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  29. 39Other mental health conditions0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  30. 40Homicide0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  31. 41Alcohol use disorder0.01%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the national crisis line on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 87-year-old man in Latvia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Latvia (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old man in Latvia

If you smoke or used to:

Based on Latvian National Health Service screening and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 85–89 in Latvia?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 31% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for an 87-year-old man in Latvia, followed by stroke and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease.
What is the chance that an 87-year-old man in Latvia dies in the next year?
15% (1 in 7). Over the next 10 years it is 92% (about 9 in 10).
How long can an 87-year-old man in Latvia expect to live?
On average, to about 92 — around 5 more years, based on Latvia's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for an 87-year-old man in Latvia?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Latvian National Health Service screening and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Latvia (2018, 2019 and 2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.