Odainn

What are women aged 85–89 in Latvia most likely to die from?

For an 87-year-old woman in Latvia, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are heart attack & coronary heart disease, stroke and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease — together 71% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 12% (1 in 9); over 10 years it is 89%.

Next 12 months
12%
1 in 9
Next 10 years
89%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
92
about 5 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease31%
    28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 32%
  2. 02Stroke28%
    25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 28%
  3. 03High blood pressure & other circulatory disease12%
    10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  4. 04Heart failure & other heart disease4.9%
    4.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
  5. 05Dementia & Alzheimer's3.8%
    3.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  6. 06Other digestive disease1.9%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  7. 07Diabetes1.8%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  8. 08Pneumonia & flu1.6%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  9. 09Other cancers1.6%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  10. 10Other causes1.3%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
Show the other 33 causes12% together
  1. 11Kidney disease1.3%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  2. 12Colorectal cancer1.1%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  3. 13Breast cancer1.0%
    0.92% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.98%
  4. 14Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.93%
    0.83% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.91%
  5. 15Pancreatic cancer0.69%
    0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  6. 16Falls0.66%
    0.58% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  7. 17Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.56%
    0.50% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  8. 18Other accidents0.55%
    0.48% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  9. 19Stomach cancer0.53%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  10. 20COVID-190.52%
    0.46% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  11. 21Lung cancer0.49%
    0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  12. 22Leukaemia & lymphoma0.48%
    0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  13. 23Uterine & ovarian cancer0.48%
    0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  14. 24Kidney cancer0.33%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  15. 25COPD & chronic lung disease0.30%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  16. 26Parkinson's disease0.29%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  17. 27Bladder cancer0.26%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  18. 28Liver cancer0.20%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  19. 29Cervical cancer0.15%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  20. 30Other lung disease0.14%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  21. 31Melanoma (skin cancer)0.13%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  22. 32Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.13%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  23. 33Brain cancer0.12%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  24. 34Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.11%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  25. 35Suicide0.07%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  26. 36Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.06%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  27. 37Oesophageal cancer0.05%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  28. 38Accidental poisoning & overdose0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  29. 39Drowning0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  30. 40Road accidents0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  31. 41Alcohol use disorder0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  32. 42Homicide0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  33. 43Other mental health conditions<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the national crisis line on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 87-year-old woman in Latvia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Latvia (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old woman in Latvia

Based on Latvian National Health Service screening and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 85–89 in Latvia?
Heart attack & coronary heart disease: 31% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for an 87-year-old woman in Latvia, followed by stroke and high blood pressure & other circulatory disease.
What is the chance that an 87-year-old woman in Latvia dies in the next year?
12% (1 in 9). Over the next 10 years it is 89% (about 9 in 10).
How long can an 87-year-old woman in Latvia expect to live?
On average, to about 92 — around 5 more years, based on Latvia's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for an 87-year-old woman in Latvia?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Latvian National Health Service screening and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Latvia (2018, 2019 and 2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.