Odainn

What are women aged 85–89 in Norway most likely to die from?

For an 87-year-old woman in Norway, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are dementia & Alzheimer's, heart failure & other heart disease and heart attack & coronary heart disease — together 39% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 8.6% (1 in 12); over 10 years it is 84%.

Next 12 months
8.6%
1 in 12
Next 10 years
84%
about 8 in 10
Life expectancy
93
about 6 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Dementia & Alzheimer's20%
    17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 20%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease11%
    9.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  3. 03Heart attack & coronary heart disease7.9%
    6.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.2%
  4. 04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease6.2%
    5.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.4%
  5. 05Stroke6.0%
    5.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  6. 06Other causes5.5%
    4.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.8%
  7. 07Pneumonia & flu5.0%
    4.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.2%
  8. 08COPD & chronic lung disease4.1%
    3.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  9. 09Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)3.5%
    2.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  10. 10COVID-193.4%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
Show the other 32 causes28% together
  1. 11Other cancers3.0%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  2. 12Other digestive disease2.9%
    2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  3. 13Falls2.8%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  4. 14Colorectal cancer2.1%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  5. 15Other accidents2.1%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  6. 16Diabetes1.9%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  7. 17Kidney disease1.7%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  8. 18Other lung disease1.6%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  9. 19Lung cancer1.5%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  10. 20Breast cancer1.3%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  11. 21Leukaemia & lymphoma1.1%
    0.89% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.96%
  12. 22Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.79%
    0.66% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.72%
  13. 23Uterine & ovarian cancer0.75%
    0.63% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  14. 24Pancreatic cancer0.74%
    0.62% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  15. 25Parkinson's disease0.71%
    0.60% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.63%
  16. 26Other mental health conditions0.57%
    0.48% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  17. 27Bladder cancer0.35%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  18. 28Melanoma (skin cancer)0.29%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  19. 29Liver cancer0.23%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  20. 30Brain cancer0.23%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  21. 31Kidney cancer0.23%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  22. 32Oesophageal cancer0.21%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  23. 33Stomach cancer0.17%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  24. 34Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.15%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  25. 35Cervical cancer0.13%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  26. 36Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.07%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  27. 37Congenital conditions0.06%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  28. 38Suicide0.06%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  29. 39Alcohol use disorder0.03%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  30. 40Road accidents0.03%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  31. 41Accidental poisoning & overdose0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  32. 42Drug use disorder0.01%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Mental Helse on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 87-year-old woman in Norway, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Norway (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old woman in Norway

Based on Norwegian national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 85–89 in Norway?
Dementia & Alzheimer's: 20% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for an 87-year-old woman in Norway, followed by heart failure & other heart disease and heart attack & coronary heart disease.
What is the chance that an 87-year-old woman in Norway dies in the next year?
8.6% (1 in 12). Over the next 10 years it is 84% (about 8 in 10).
How long can an 87-year-old woman in Norway expect to live?
On average, to about 93 — around 6 more years, based on Norway's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for an 87-year-old woman in Norway?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on Norwegian national screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Norway (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.