Odainn

What are women aged 85–89 in Portugal most likely to die from?

For an 87-year-old woman in Portugal, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are dementia & Alzheimer's, heart failure & other heart disease and stroke — together 36% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 8.4% (1 in 12); over 10 years it is 83%.

Next 12 months
8.4%
1 in 12
Next 10 years
83%
about 8 in 10
Life expectancy
93
about 6 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Dementia & Alzheimer's13%
    11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease12%
    10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  3. 03Stroke10%
    8.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  4. 04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease7.8%
    6.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.1%
  5. 05Other causes6.6%
    5.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  6. 06Other lung disease6.3%
    5.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.4%
  7. 07Pneumonia & flu6.2%
    5.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.4%
  8. 08Heart attack & coronary heart disease4.7%
    3.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
  9. 09Other digestive disease3.8%
    3.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  10. 10Diabetes3.7%
    3.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
Show the other 33 causes25% together
  1. 11Kidney disease2.7%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  2. 12Other cancers2.6%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  3. 13COVID-192.5%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  4. 14Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.2%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  5. 15COPD & chronic lung disease2.0%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  6. 16Other accidents1.9%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  7. 17Colorectal cancer1.8%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  8. 18Breast cancer1.4%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  9. 19Parkinson's disease1.0%
    0.85% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.95%
  10. 20Leukaemia & lymphoma0.90%
    0.74% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.81%
  11. 21Falls0.75%
    0.62% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.74%
  12. 22Pancreatic cancer0.75%
    0.62% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  13. 23Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.72%
    0.60% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  14. 24Stomach cancer0.70%
    0.58% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  15. 25Lung cancer0.61%
    0.51% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  16. 26Uterine & ovarian cancer0.52%
    0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  17. 27Bladder cancer0.37%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  18. 28Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.29%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  19. 29Liver cancer0.25%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  20. 30Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.21%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  21. 31Kidney cancer0.18%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  22. 32Brain cancer0.17%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  23. 33Melanoma (skin cancer)0.09%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  24. 34Cervical cancer0.07%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  25. 35Other mental health conditions0.07%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  26. 36Oesophageal cancer0.07%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  27. 37Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.05%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  28. 38Road accidents0.05%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  29. 39Accidental poisoning & overdose0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  30. 40Suicide0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  31. 41Congenital conditions0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  32. 42Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  33. 43Alcohol use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 1411, the national suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 87-year-old woman in Portugal, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Portugal (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.
Embed this on your site

Free to use with the link back. The image updates when the data does.

These are averages. You aren't average.

Smoking, exercise, weight, alcohol and diet change these numbers. Get your personal numbers and the changes that give you the most years back — free.

Get your numbersTry another age
What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old woman in Portugal

Based on the Portuguese DGS screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for women aged 85–89 in Portugal?
Dementia & Alzheimer's: 13% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for an 87-year-old woman in Portugal, followed by heart failure & other heart disease and stroke.
What is the chance that an 87-year-old woman in Portugal dies in the next year?
8.4% (1 in 12). Over the next 10 years it is 83% (about 8 in 10).
How long can an 87-year-old woman in Portugal expect to live?
On average, to about 93 — around 6 more years, based on Portugal's current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for an 87-year-old woman in Portugal?
Blood pressure check; Flu vaccine; Cholesterol & heart-risk check; Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal); Blood sugar test (diabetes). Based on the Portuguese DGS screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for Portugal (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.